Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?
Culture|$18.5k Vol|
time3 days 18 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+7.5¢
65-89(No)
+6.4¢
<40(Yes)
+3¢
90-114(No)

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026? AI analysis: • +7.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Elon Musk's tweet frequency (counting only main feed posts, reposts, and quotes, excluding standard ...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Winner
Sports|$1.2m Vol|
time2 hrs 34 mins

Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.2¢
Natus Vincere(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the BLAST Open Rotterdam nears the grand finals (less than 1 day to resolution), Parivision's exp...
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Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Parivision's price plummeted from 14.5c to 0.05c due to their defeat in the semi-finals or a crucial playoff match, eliminating them from title contention. March 28, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Vitality's price surged from 69c to 84.5c as they successfully advanced to the grand finals and emerged as the heavy favorite against their final opponent. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, Vitality's price steadily rose from 63.5c to 71.5c, as their competitive form was further confirmed deep into the tournament, causing market capital to concentrate on the absolute favorite. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, Parivision's price steadily climbed from 5.4c to around 14c, as their performance in the playoffs exceeded expectations, leading to a market repricing of their advancement potential. March 23, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Vitality's price pushed from 62c to a peak of 67.5c before retracing, reflecting liquidity consolidating after group stages followed by profit-taking. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026, Natus Vincere (NAVI) experienced a continuous valuation correction, climbing steadily from 4.7c to 14.5c, reflecting the true probability of a Top 2 team returning to rationality.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?
Weather|$28.7k Vol|
time14 hrs 34 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on March 29?

Top Undervalued
+13¢
17°C(No)
+10.5¢
19°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest meteorological forecast models, the highest temperature for Milan (Malpensa ...
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Exotics
While weather markets are somewhat common on specific prediction platforms, forecasting the exact highest temperature in Milan on a specific date is quite niche and acts more as a novelty guessing game for the general public.
Movers
Between 2026-03-25 14:25 and 2026-03-27 12:55, the price of '20°C' fell from 16.5c to 3.95c, as updated short-term weather forecasts ruled out the possibility of reaching 20°C. Between 2026-03-25 11:10 and 2026-03-25 12:15, the price of the '22°C or higher' option surged from 25.5c to 36.5c, before plummeting to 1.9c over the next two days. This was likely driven by concentrated speculative buying exploiting irrational expectations or a short-lived anomaly in weather models, which quickly corrected. Between 2026-03-25 15:30 and 2026-03-27 10:45, the price of '16°C' dropped from 24.5c to 11.5c, primarily because meteorological forecasts gradually revised the expected high temperature upwards.
AI Analysis
"They Will Kill You" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Culture|$14.6k Vol|
time1 days 2 hrs

"They Will Kill You" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Top Undervalued
+28¢
65+(Yes)
+2.6¢
70+(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Currently, 'They Will Kill You' has over 100 critical reviews on Rotten Tomatoes, with the Tomatomet...
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Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the Yes price for 65+ plunged from 94.5c to 55.5c, and 70+ plummeted from 58.5c to 1.25c. The reason is that as the review count surpassed 100, the score settled around 66%-67%, crushing hopes for a 70+ score and introducing slight market fears of a drop below 65%. March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the Yes price for 60+ surged from 43c to 98c, and 65+ surged from 40.5c to 94.5c, while the Yes price for 75+ plummeted from 44.5c to 2c. The reason is that as more early reviews were published and aggregated on Rotten Tomatoes, the film's score gradually locked into the 65-74% range, eliminating the likelihood of extremely high or low scores.
AI Analysis
MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year
Sports|$12.8k Vol|
time265 days 2 hrs

MLB: NL Comeback Player of the Year

Top Undervalued
+33¢
Sean Manaea(No)
+33¢
Tanner Scott(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The NL Comeback Player of the Year award is typically given to players returning from severe injurie...
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Divergence
Market prices imply that every option has around a 40% chance of winning, which is logically impossible (sum of probabilities exceeds 400%). This heavily diverges from realistic probability distributions and is primarily caused by a lack of early liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads set by market makers in the prediction market.
AI Analysis
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
Culture|$487.1k Vol|
time1 days 18 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+3¢
40-64(No)
+2.5¢
65-89(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The tracking window started about 4.5 hours ago, and the market has reassessed the total based on th...
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Rule Risk
Moderate risk exists as resolution heavily relies on a specific third-party tracker rather than native X data. Distinguishing between standard replies (excluded) and 'main feed replies' (included) could cause confusion, and posts deleted under 5 minutes risk being uncounted if the tracker misses them.
Exotics
Betting on the exact frequency of a billionaire's social media posts over a specific 48-hour window is a highly niche and novelty proposition. Normal people do not track tweet volumes at this granular level.
Movers
March 26, 2026 - March 28, 2026: The price of the 115-139 option plummeted from 28c to 4.5c, while the 40-64 option rose from 18.5c to 31c. This occurred because as the tracking window approached and began, traders observed that Musk's recent actual posting frequency could not support expectations of very high posting volumes, leading funds to shift toward lower-to-medium frequency brackets. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026: Prices for high-frequency options such as 140-164, 165-189, and 190-214 plummeted from around 50c to below 5c. This was caused by an initial overestimation of Musk's posting volume or distorted pricing due to low liquidity. As the tracking window approached, traders aggressively corrected the prices downward to align with his actual recent posting frequency.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
65-89
YesNo
37.5¢
62.5¢
30¢
70¢
+7.5¢
<40
YesNo
3.65¢
96.35¢
10¢
90¢
+6.4¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
The market relies on a specific third-party tracker (xtracker) for resolution, with a nuanced distinction between 'main feed replies' and 'regular replies'. Furthermore, the rule that deleted posts only count if they survive for 5 minutes introduces technical tracking uncertainties and dispute risks.
Exotics
Predicting the exact number of posts a specific individual makes within a precise 48-hour window is a highly niche and whimsical novelty question. Traditional finance or analysis would never track this, making it a classic exotic prediction market.

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