Predicting the highest temperature in a specific city on a given day is a relatively niche prediction topic. Unless one is a local resident or a meteorology enthusiast, the general public rarely thinks about or follows this question.

2026-04-05 to 2026-04-06, the price for 32°C surged from 12.5c to 48c, while 34°C plummeted from 34.5c to 11c. The reason is that the day's latest weather forecasts indicated lower expected maximum temperatures due to potential precipitation or cloudy conditions. 2026-04-03 to 2026-04-04, prices for several extreme temperature options (e.g., 37°C, 28°C or below) plummeted from 25.5c to below 5c. The reason is that the market initially had very low liquidity and prices were hovering at default equal-weight levels. As traders intervened and actual weather forecasts became clearer, capital concentrated into more realistic ranges, draining liquidity from improbable outlier options.