According to the latest mainstream weather forecasts (including Wunderground), the expected highest ...

March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '52°F or higher' plummeted from 49.5c to 6.0c, as short-term meteorological models ruled out extreme warming forecasts for early April. March 29, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '44-45°F' fluctuated upwards from 19.5c to 32c before stabilizing around 28.5c, due to the forecast models converging highly on this temperature range as the settlement date approached. On March 29, 2026, the price of '33°F or below' plummeted from 25.5c to 0.55c, and '36-37°F' plummeted from 17.5c to 1.95c, as updated meteorological models ruled out extreme cold scenarios. On March 29, 2026, the price of '46-47°F' dropped from 25c to 12.5c, reflecting the convergence of short-term weather forecasts.

According to the latest meteorological forecasts, the weather at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airpo...

March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the price of '27°C' surged from 14.5c to 39.5c, and '28°C' jumped from 18c to 38.5c. This was caused by meteorological models converging as the resolution date approached, confirming 27°C-28°C as the most likely daytime high temperature range. March 29, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the price of '21°C or below' plummeted from 15.5c to 4.5c, '23°C' crashed from 19.5c to 8.5c, and '31°C or higher' plunged from 16.5c to 5.05c. This was due to updated meteorological models eliminating earlier divergences regarding prolonged cold fronts or extreme heatwaves, converging on normal temperatures. March 29, 2026 - March 29, 2026, the price of '26°C' surged from 19.5c to 29c as short-term weather forecasts temporarily supported this as the likely cap under overcast conditions.

Based on the latest forecast data, the highest temperature for Sao Paulo (Guarulhos International Ai...

March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the 27°C option experienced severe volatility, dropping from 34.5c to 15.5c before rebounding to 30c, reflecting the uncertainty in forecasts as the date approaches. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, the 25°C option climbed steadily from 8.5c to 27.5c, indicating forecasts are converging towards 25°C. March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the '30°C or higher' option crashed from 25c to 2c before rebounding to 18.45c and falling again, reflecting fluctuations in the probability of extreme heat in the forecasts. March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the 28°C option steadily dropped from 36.5c to 20.5c and lower, indicating that forecasts are leaning towards lower temperatures. March 29, 2026 - March 30, 2026, the 29°C option fell from 27.5c to 15.5c and continued downward, while the 23°C and 24°C options also showed similar volatility. This suggests that continuous updates in short-term weather models are causing divergence and rapid adjustments.

With about 1 day left until April 1, weather forecast models have further converged. The high temper...

From 04:30 on Mar 30, 2026, to 15:20 on Mar 30, 2026, the price of '66-67°F' dropped from 43.5c to 22c before recovering; '64-65°F' rose from 12.5c to 17.5c; '70-71°F' also saw significant volatility. This was due to minor adjustments in short-term weather forecast models causing market expectations to swing between adjacent temperature ranges. From 19:50 on Mar 29, 2026, to 22:00 on Mar 29, 2026, the Yes price of '59°F or below' crashed from 25c to 1.5c, and '60-61°F' dropped from 15.5c to 5c. This is because weather forecast models converged as the date approached, ruling out the possibility of extreme low temperatures.

According to the latest weather forecasts (e.g., NWS and WeatherBug), the high temperature for April...

While the title mentions 'Denver,' the resolution rules explicitly specify data from the Buckley Space Force Base Station (KBKF) in Aurora. Traders relying solely on the title and checking standard Denver stations (like the international airport) may fall into a trap due to local temperature variations.

Between March 29 and March 31, 2026, the price of 56-57°F surged from 11c to a peak of 32c, and 58-59°F jumped from 9c to a high of 37c, while '45°F or below' plummeted from 25c to under 1c. This occurred because, as April 1 approaches, updated meteorological models confirmed the daytime high will reach around 56-59°F, eliminating the earlier possibility of extreme cold.