What are the exact resolution rules (ELI5) for the highest temperature at London City Airport, and will post-finalization revisions by Wunderground affect the outcome?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the exact resolution rules (ELI5) for the highest temperature at London City Airport, and will post-finalization revisions by Wunderground affect the outcome?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on the latest weather forecasts and historical temperature frequency statistics for London in early April, what are the actual statistical probabilities of the temperature falling in the 17°C-19°C range or reaching 24°C and higher?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on the latest weather forecasts and historical temperature frequency statistics for London in early April, what are the actual statistical probabilities of the temperature falling in the 17°C-19°C range or reaching 24°C and higher?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the April 8 resolution and expected price volatility from upcoming forecast updates, what is the risk-reward ratio for placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) on illiquid extreme options like '14°C or below'?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the April 8 resolution and expected price volatility from upcoming forecast updates, what is the risk-reward ratio for placing extremely low bids (Stink Bids) on illiquid extreme options like '14°C or below'?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in London on April 8?

Weather|$12.9k Vol|

2 days 20 hrs

Highest temperature in London on April 8? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 15 minutes ago

Top Undervalued

+6¢

23°C(No)

+5¢

24°C or higher(No)

+4.5¢

22°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in London on April 8? AI analysis: • +6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the latest weather forecast trends (with only about 2 days left until resolution), the expe...

🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

23°C

YesNo

26¢

74¢

20¢

80¢

0¢

+6¢

24°C or higher

YesNo

11¢

89¢

6¢

94¢

0¢

+5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

From April 4, 2026, to April 5, 2026, the price of '22°C' increased from around 21c to approximately 27.5c, peaking at 33.5c, as short-term weather models concentrated the expected temperature in this range. From April 4, 2026, to April 5, 2026, the price of '19°C' dropped from around 17.5c (peak 24.5c) to about 5.5c, due to revisions in the forecast reducing the likelihood of unusually low temperatures as the date approached. From April 4, 2026, to April 5, 2026, the price of '24°C or higher' fell from around 14c to about 6.5c, reflecting a decreased probability of extreme high temperatures.