[Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Retrieve the latest data for the "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25" market, and given the extremely low volume ($20), specifically analyze the slippage risk from the bid-ask spread and assess the fair value of current temperature odds against the latest weather forecasts.

AI-powered analysis for: [Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment] Retrieve the latest data for the "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25" market, and given the extremely low volume ($20), specifically analyze the slippage risk from the bid-ask spread and assess the fair value of current temperature odds against the latest weather forecasts.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Core Weather Forecast Sourcing] Search for the latest hourly temperature forecasts for Incheon International Airport (RKSI) on March 25 from KMA and AccuWeather, specifically confirming where the consensus peak temperature (e.g., 11.4°C vs 11.6°C) falls under Wunderground's whole-degree rounding resolution rules.

AI-powered analysis for: [Core Weather Forecast Sourcing] Search for the latest hourly temperature forecasts for Incheon International Airport (RKSI) on March 25 from KMA and AccuWeather, specifically confirming where the consensus peak temperature (e.g., 11.4°C vs 11.6°C) falls under Wunderground's whole-degree rounding resolution rules.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

[Low Liquidity "Stink Bid" Strategy] Given the market's extreme lack of liquidity, calculate optimal price levels for "Stink Bids" on high-probability ranges (e.g., 9°C-13°C), formulating a plan to enter via passive limit orders (Maker) rather than market orders (Taker) to minimize entry costs.

AI-powered analysis for: [Low Liquidity "Stink Bid" Strategy] Given the market's extreme lack of liquidity, calculate optimal price levels for "Stink Bids" on high-probability ranges (e.g., 9°C-13°C), formulating a plan to enter via passive limit orders (Maker) rather than market orders (Taker) to minimize entry costs.. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?

Weather|$10.5k Vol|

2 days 18 hrs

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25? - AI Found +44¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.21 11:16

Top Undervalued

+44¢

15°C or higher(No)

+23¢

13°C(Yes)

+15.5¢

12°C(Yes)

Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25? AI analysis: • +44¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Forecasts for Incheon International Airport (RKSI) from AccuWeather and Meteoprog project a high bet...

All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

15°C or higher

YesNo

49¢

51¢

5¢

95¢

0¢

+44¢

13°C

YesNo

12¢

88¢

35¢

65¢

+23¢

0¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Exotics

This is a typical weather prediction market. For the general public, betting on the specific temperature of a specific day is a niche novelty, not a mainstream topic, though it is relatively common within prediction market communities.

Divergence

Significant divergence exists. Market prices imply a 75% probability of temperatures exceeding 14°C, which sharply conflicts with mainstream meteorological models (AccuWeather, Meteoprog) forecasting 9°C-13°C for Incheon Airport. This divergence is likely driven by traders mistakenly using the Seoul City forecast (projected 16°C) instead of the specific Incheon Airport (coastal/island) forecast required by the market rules.