Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Weather|$79.7k Vol|
time2 days 1 hrs

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29? - AI Found +15.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.25 12:15
Top Undervalued
+15.5¢
20°C(No)
+13¢
19°C(No)
+11¢
21°C(No)

Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29? AI analysis: • +15.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecasts (including MetService, AccuWeather, Google Weather), the highe...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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NY-18 House Election Winner
Elections|$30.2k Vol|
time221 days 13 hrs

NY-18 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+3.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The NY-18 district strongly favors the Democratic Party for the 2026 midterms. Incumbent Democrat Pa...
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AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 27?
Weather|$40.3k Vol|
time1 hrs 18 mins

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+3¢
30°C(No)
+1.5¢
29°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest meteorological data for March 27, the high temperature at Sao Paulo Guarulhos Ai...
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Movers
March 25, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '30°C' surged from 28c to 42.5c, as the target date approached and the latest weather forecasts strongly pointed to a high temperature around 30°C. March 23, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '32°C' steadily dropped from 14.5c to 5.5c, as the probability of extreme heat was further ruled out. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of '34°C or higher' plummeted from 24c to around 1.6c, as extreme heat was completely ruled out by approaching weather forecasts. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, options like '29°C' and '31°C' experienced severe fluctuations of over 10c, due to meteorological models shifting between 28°C and 31°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Weather|$96.3k Vol|
time1 hrs 18 mins

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+2.1¢
21°C or below(No)
+1.6¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Today is March 27, 2026, and it is currently 4:30 PM local time in Taoyuan, Taiwan. According to the...
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Exotics
This is a moderately exotic market. While weather prediction is common, betting on the precise maximum temperature for a specific date and a specific city (not a major global financial hub) is a niche market, not a mainstream event followed by the general public.
Movers
March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '21°C or below' surged from 35.5c to 97.4c, as the cold air impact was stronger than initially expected and actual temperature data on the resolution day confirmed the low temperatures. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '24°C' plummeted from a peak of 41.5c to 0.15c, because real-time weather observations on the 27th completely ruled out the possibility of reaching 24°C. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of '23°C' rose from 16.5c to 28.5c, indicating a significant increase in market expectation for this temperature, likely due to slight adjustments in weather models regarding the cold air's intensity. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of '26°C' dropped from 20c to 6.55c, reflecting the market's rapid pricing out of higher temperatures as the cold front approaches. March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of '27°C' plummeted from 18.5c to 2.7c, as official forecasts confirmed the cooling trend for the 27th.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
Weather|$46.0k Vol|
time1 hrs 18 mins

Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+22¢
16°C(No)
+22¢
14°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest weather forecasts from sources like Met Office and Google Weather, the high ...
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Movers
March 23, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of the '18°C or higher' option plummeted from 26.5c to 5.5c, and the '17°C' option dropped from a peak of 25.5c to 12.5c. This occurred because updated weather models solidified a cooler forecast (highs around 13-16°C) as the target date approached, eliminating previous expectations of unseasonable warmth.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Weather|$126.4k Vol|
time1 hrs 18 mins

Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?

Top Undervalued
+68.8¢
22°C(No)
+7.9¢
23°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of early morning March 27, 2026, with only a few hours to resolution, the market heavily favors 2...
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Movers
From March 26, 2026, to March 27, 2026, the price of '21°C' surged from 31.5c to 58.5c, as the approaching resolution and clearer forecast data strongly point to this temperature. From March 23, 2026, to March 25, 2026, the price of '22°C' rose from 17.5c to 35.0c, reflecting an upward revision in market expectations for the temperature. From March 24, 2026, to March 25, 2026, the price of '19°C' dropped from 24.0c to 8.5c, indicating that the market has reduced the probability of this lower temperature range.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
20°C
YesNo
30.5¢
69.5¢
15¢
85¢
+15.5¢
19°C
YesNo
33¢
67¢
20¢
80¢
+13¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature of a specific city is a moderately common niche topic in prediction markets. However, for the general public, betting on a single day's specific temperature in Wellington, New Zealand, is quite unusual and carries some novelty.
Movers
Between 11:00 and 12:05 on March 25, 2026, the Yes price for '23°C or higher' plummeted from 25.5c to 11c. This occurred because as the target date approaches, consensus forecasts from major weather platforms consistently show highs around 18-20°C, largely eliminating the market's expectation of extreme heat at or above 23°C.

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