What are the exact resolution rules for this market, specifically regarding the Wunderground data source for London City Airport (EGLC) and the whole degree Celsius rounding?

AI-powered analysis for: What are the exact resolution rules for this market, specifically regarding the Wunderground data source for London City Airport (EGLC) and the whole degree Celsius rounding?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Based on current weather forecasts and historical early May temperature data for London, which lowest temperature range option has the highest probability of occurring on May 4?

AI-powered analysis for: Based on current weather forecasts and historical early May temperature data for London, which lowest temperature range option has the highest probability of occurring on May 4?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Given the extremely low trading volume (around $79.51) of this temperature prediction market, how can a 'stink bid' strategy be effectively used to catch potential mispricing or extreme price fluctuations?

AI-powered analysis for: Given the extremely low trading volume (around $79.51) of this temperature prediction market, how can a 'stink bid' strategy be effectively used to catch potential mispricing or extreme price fluctuations?. Get detailed insights and real-time data on PolyPredict AI.

Lowest temperature in London on May 4?

Weather|$9,383 Vol|

12 hrs 21 mins

Lowest temperature in London on May 4? - AI Found +10.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 40 minutes ago

Top Undervalued

+10.5¢

10°C(No)

+2.5¢

11°C(No)

+1¢

12°C(Yes)

Lowest temperature in London on May 4? AI analysis: • +10.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:

Based on the current market trading prices and implied probabilities, 11°C and 12°C are the most fav...

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All Outcomes

Market Price

AI Fair Value

Value Edge

10°C

YesNo

29.5¢

70.5¢

19¢

81¢

0¢

+10.5¢

11°C

YesNo

29.5¢

70.5¢

27¢

73¢

0¢

+2.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.

Movers

From May 2, 2026 to May 3, 2026, the 'yes' price for 12°C rose from 18.5c to a peak of 47.5c (later settling at 34c), as approaching the resolution date, updated meteorological forecasts indicated the lowest temperature is highly likely to fall in this range. From May 2, 2026 to May 3, 2026, the 'yes' price for 10°C surged from 21.5c to a peak of 39c (later settling at 29.5c), reflecting market volatility regarding expectations of a cooler minimum temperature. From May 2, 2026 to May 3, 2026, the 'yes' price for 11°C increased from 23c to a peak of 42c (later settling at 29.5c), indicating intense fluctuations in weather predictions between 10°C and 12°C during this period. From May 2, 2026 to May 3, 2026, the 'yes' price for 13°C experienced significant volatility, rising from 14.5c to 26.5c before dropping sharply to 14.1c, showing initial expectations of a warmer minimum that were later corrected. From May 2, 2026 to May 3, 2026, the 'yes' price for 8°C steadily declined from 17.5c to 1.4c, and the 9°C option plummeted from 21c to 2.35c. This was due to weather data increasingly ruling out the possibility of such extreme low temperatures as the date approached.