Lowest temperature in Miami on May 11?
Weather|$10.3k Vol|
time1 days 20 hrs

Lowest temperature in Miami on May 11? - AI Found +22.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 9 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+22.5¢
76-77°F(Yes)
+20.5¢
80-81°F(No)
+9¢
74-75°F(Yes)

Lowest temperature in Miami on May 11? AI analysis: • +22.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to mainstream weather forecasts (like AccuWeather) for Miami on May 11, 2026, the lowest t...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Oil|$11.3m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With only about 6 days remaining until the expiration date, the price of the 'Yes' option has droppe...
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Hedging
Gold
Crude Oil
The Strait of Hormuz is the world's most critical oil transit chokepoint. A return to normal traffic signals an easing of Middle East tensions or blockades, which would aggressively strip the geopolitical risk premium out of Crude Oil prices. This would also reduce safe-haven demand for Gold while mildly supporting broad equities (S&P 500) by easing inflation fears.
AI Analysis
How frequent and reliable are the IMF Portwatch updates for the Strait of Hormuz 7-day moving average transit calls, and is there any risk of delayed or halted data before May 15?
Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner
Culture|$2.3m Vol|
time6 days 8 hrs

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Czechia(No)
+0.5¢
France(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest prediction market data, Australia continues to lead the jury vote expectations w...
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AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest market data for the 'Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner' event, focusing on analyzing the bid-ask spread and depth of the Order Book given the reported low volume (1.19) to assess liquidity risk, and review user discussions for potential arbitrage opportunities arising from the disconnect between 'Jury preferences' and 'Televote preferences'.
Eurovision Winner 2026
Culture|$139.7m Vol|
time6 days 8 hrs

Eurovision Winner 2026

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Moldova(Yes)
+0.6¢
Australia(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than a week to go before the Eurovision 2026 final, market pricing remains highly stable a...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for 'Eurovision Winner 2026' to analyze the order book depth, specifically for top contenders (e.g., Sweden, Italy, Ukraine) that have recently revealed their entries. Incorporate user discussions regarding recent 'National Selection' performances to assess fair value and liquidity risks.
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Culture|$751.4k Vol|
time6 days 8 hrs

Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Top Undervalued
+6.2¢
Finland(No)
+5.5¢
Israel(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of the implied probabilities (Yes prices) for all options is approximately 1073%, which stil...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the Polymarket page for this Eurovision event, and given the extremely low volume ($1.02), analyze the bid-ask spreads and depth for key countries (e.g., Sweden, Ukraine) to assess if there are severe pricing inefficiencies or liquidity traps compared to Eurovision World odds.
PGA Tour: Truist Championship Top 5
Sports|$13.7k Vol|
time8 hrs 10 mins

PGA Tour: Truist Championship Top 5

Top Undervalued
+45¢
Robert MacIntyre(No)
+45¢
Kurt Kitayama(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the live leaderboard after Round 2 of the 2026 Truist Championship, Sungjae Im (-9) and Tom...
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Movers
May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: The prices of Sung-Jae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Thomas, and Alex Fitzpatrick surged significantly (e.g., Sung-Jae Im spiked from 2c to 62c) because they posted excellent scores in the first and second rounds, taking the top spots on the live leaderboard. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: Rory McIlroy's price dropped sharply from 44.5c to 15c before rebounding to over 48c, as he had a sluggish opening round (trailing by 7 shots) but bounced back strongly with a 67 in Round 2 to move into the top 10. May 7, 2026 - May 8, 2026: Cameron Young's price surged from 30c to a peak of 67c, reflecting strong early performance and good form in the tournament.
AI Analysis
Are there any critical variables, such as sudden weather changes or injuries, affecting top favorites like Rory McIlroy or Xander Schauffele from finishing in the top 5 at the 2026 Truist Championship?
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
76-77°F
YesNo
17.5¢
82.5¢
40¢
60¢
+22.5¢
0¢
80-81°F
YesNo
30.5¢
69.5¢
10¢
90¢
0¢
+20.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Divergence
The market currently assigns an unusually high probability (21.5%) to the 84-85°F option, whereas weather forecasts anticipate the May 11 low in Miami to be around 74-77°F. This divergence is likely due to trader errors, confusion with daytime highs, or extreme price distortion caused by very low liquidity.

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