There is a notable trap: The title asks for the temperature in 'Seoul', but the resolution rules strictly specify data from the 'Incheon Intl Airport Station'. These two areas have different geographical characteristics (Incheon is coastal), which can lead to significant discrepancies in lowest temperatures. Additionally, the market resolves to whole degrees Celsius, requiring attention to rounding rules.

Forecasting the exact lowest temperature of a specific location on a given day is a relatively niche, everyday prediction market. It falls outside mainstream interest but is not absurdly bizarre.

May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026: The price of 12°C fluctuated upward from 39c to 57c, 10°C dropped from 21c to 4c before rebounding to 16c, and 14°C briefly spiked from 7c to 23c. This was caused by minor adjustments in nighttime temperature drops across different meteorological models (e.g., Wunderground, AMO) as the settlement time approached. As the forecast solidified around the 12-13°C range, capital rapidly rotated between adjacent options.