All
Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Tram Nguyen
YesNo
Seth Moulton
YesNo
Beth Andres-Beck
YesNo
John Beccia
YesNo
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
YesNo
Rachel Creemers
YesNo
Mariah Lancaster
YesNo
Dan Koh
YesNo
Dominick Pangallo
YesNo
Rick Jakious
YesNo
Kevin Larivee
YesNo
Diann Slavit Baylis
YesNo
AI Insights:
03.16 13:35 UpdatedFair Value Reasoning:
Dan Koh demonstrates overwhelming dominance with record-breaking Q1 fundraising ($2M+, a Massachusetts House candidate record) and a key endorsement from former Labor Secretary Marty Walsh, providing him with a massive financial and organizational lead. In contrast, his main rival, State Rep. Tram Nguyen, has raised only ~$255k, highlighting a significant resource gap. Incumbent Seth Moulton is confirmed to be actively running for Senate (challenging Ed Markey), making a return to this primary highly improbable (FV~0). The market shows significant structural mispricing: Tram Nguyen (4.6c), as a sitting State Representative and Committee Chair, is severely undervalued; her political capital far exceeds that of former staffer Rick Jakious or perennial candidate Jamie Belsito, and she should be priced as the clear second-tier option.
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