Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?
Finance|$4,389 Vol|
time3 days 19 hrs

Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 08:55
Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
(Yes)

Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +0.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Following a highly optimistic forward guidance at its recent annual shareholder meeting and boosted ...
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$54.3k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
28°C(No)
+1¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$35.9k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
23°C(No)
+9.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
97.35¢
2.65¢
98¢
+0.6¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
NYT
The direct underlying asset of this event is the New York Times (NYT) stock. An earnings beat or miss is the primary catalyst for its short-term price action, typically triggering a medium-sized (around 5%-10%) intraday or gap movement, making it highly tradable. Because NYT carries negligible weight in major indices, this event has virtually zero impact on broader markets like the S&P 500.
Movers
April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged further from 85c to 98.5c. This was driven by the extreme solidification of market consensus regarding outperforming digital subscriptions as the earnings date approaches, essentially eliminating downside risks. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50.5c to 89.5c. This was driven by NYT's annual shareholder meeting on April 22, where management revealed robust digital subscription growth, margin expansion, and highly optimistic forward guidance for 2026. Additionally, major news events like the US-Iran geopolitical tensions significantly boosted news consumption, driving up market confidence in an earnings beat for Q1.

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