Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?
Earnings|$2,781 Vol|
time3 days 3 hrs

Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? - AI Mispricing Alert

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Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
(No)

Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? AI analysis: • +1.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The 'Yes' option is currently priced around 93.5 cents, reflecting extremely high market confidence ...
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$54.3k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
28°C(No)
+1¢
27°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$35.9k Vol|
time18 hrs 16 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+17¢
23°C(No)
+9.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
93.5¢
6.5¢
92¢
+1.5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Hedging
OXY
Occidental Petroleum's (OXY) earnings results will directly determine the outcome of this event. An earnings beat or miss will directly trigger medium-level volatility in its stock price (OXY), typically around 3%-8%. As an oil producer, its performance may vaguely reflect industry conditions but has negligible actual impact on global crude oil prices.
Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50.5c to 93.5c, as the market likely digested strong whisper numbers or favorable commodity fundamentals heading into earnings, causing a sharp resurgence in bullish sentiment and heavy buying. April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 82.5c (and 70c) to 50.5c, as the market likely digested new bearish forecasts or macroeconomic commodity price volatility as earnings approach, causing earlier extreme optimism to rapidly cool off. April 24, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50.5c to 91.5c, due to analysts upgrading earnings estimates and the company's historical beat record attracting heavy buying.

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