Total crypto hack value in 2026?
Crypto|$56.5k Vol|
time243 days 13 hrs

Total crypto hack value in 2026? - AI Found +12.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 2 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
>$1.5B(Yes)
+11.5¢
>$3.5B(No)
+9.5¢
>$1.2B(Yes)

Total crypto hack value in 2026? AI analysis: • +12.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Total crypto hack volumes historically fluctuate between $1B and $3B (e.g., nearly $3.8B in 2022, ~$...
🔓 Log in to see more

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

View More
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$30.1k Vol|
time20 hrs 24 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+12.5¢
23°C(No)
+9.5¢
22°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
🔓 Log in to see more
Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
>$1.5B
YesNo
47.5¢
52.5¢
60¢
40¢
+12.5¢
>$3.5B
YesNo
44.5¢
55.5¢
33¢
67¢
+11.5¢

Expand to view all 8 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 29, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the Yes price for >$1B surged from 80.5c to 90c, likely due to Q1 2026 data indicating high early-year hacking activity, drastically increasing the certainty of breaking $1B. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the Yes price for >$1B plummeted from 78c to 52.5c, but quickly recovered the next day, presumably due to abnormal volatility from low liquidity or a short-term mispricing. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the Yes price for >$4B spiked from 27.5c to 52.5c before retracing, suggesting short-term disruptions caused by whale positions or speculative capital.
Divergence
The prediction market currently exhibits flat and internally contradictory pricing across thresholds (e.g., >$3B and >$3.5B are both priced at 44.5c, while >$1.5B is only 47.5c). Mainstream consensus from cybersecurity firms typically models crypto hacks with a steep drop-off at higher tiers; the probability of breaking massive thresholds (like $3B or $4B) should decrease exponentially. The current market overprices extreme tail risks (>$3.5B, >$4B) while underpricing the middle ranges (>$1.5B).

Support

Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is PolyPredict AI and how can I access it?
2. How does the AI determine the "Fair Value"?
3. What makes the "Arbitrage Plans" unique?
4. What is the difference between Event and Live Markets?
5. What are the key differences between the Free and Pro versions?
6. Can I use PolyPredict AI on Telegram?

The All-in-One AI Copilot for Prediction Markets