UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Yellow Cards
Soccer|$53.9k Vol|
time25 days 0 hrs

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Yellow Cards - AI Found +20.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.29 08:10
Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
Guéla Maho Lewis Doué(No)
+15.5¢
Cher Ndour(No)
+14¢
Pathé Ismaël Ciss(No)

UEFA Europa Conference League: Most Yellow Cards AI analysis: • +20.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The sum of 'Yes' prices across all options is currently around 137.5%. While this is a significant i...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$42.4k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
23°C(No)
+7.5¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$70.6k Vol|
time12 hrs 50 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+4.7¢
27°C(No)
+4.5¢
30°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Guéla Maho Lewis Doué
YesNo
49.5¢
50.5¢
29¢
71¢
+20.5¢
Cher Ndour
YesNo
49.5¢
50.5¢
34¢
66¢
+15.5¢

Expand to view all 4 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
While the core rule relies on official stats, the tie-breaker rule is highly arbitrary (alphabetical order of last name). This is a classic 'alphabetical trap' completely detached from sporting merit. If two players tie on yellow cards, the one with the alphabetically earlier surname wins, posing a significant risk to unaware traders.
Exotics
This falls into the upper-medium tier of niche markets. Compared to 'who will win' or 'top scorer', betting on 'most yellow cards' is a relatively obscure and speculative statistic. Such markets typically appeal only to deep sports bettors or data analysts, not the general public.

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