What price will Ethereum hit on April 18?
Crypto|$18.8k Vol|
time9 hrs 8 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on April 18? - AI Found +42.2¢ Mispricing

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Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+42.2¢
↓ 2,300(Yes)
+7.5¢
↓ 2,250(Yes)
+1.7¢
↑ 2,450(Yes)

What price will Ethereum hit on April 18? AI analysis: • +42.2¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Politics|$1.0m Vol|
time437 days 5 hrs

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
None by June 30, 2027(Yes)
+0.3¢
Netflix(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current market pricing remains largely stable, with the probability of Paramount successfully acquir...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Rule Risk
There is significant rule risk. First, the rules explicitly mention a 'currently announced Netflix agreement' which does not qualify (this appears to be based on specific hypothetical or erroneous context, as no such finalized deal exists in reality), potentially misleading traders. Second, defining 'acquiring control' versus strategic partnerships or partial asset purchases can be ambiguous, especially with complex spin-offs or joint ventures. The exclusion of non-finalized announcements adds dispute risk regarding the definition of 'finalized'.
Hedging
CMCSA
NFLX
PARA
WBD
This event represents a major M&A transaction with direct and drastic impacts on the stock prices of the involved public companies. If WBD is acquired, its stock would typically see a massive premium volatility (Score 5). The acquirer's stock (e.g., Netflix or Comcast) would also experience significant movement due to capital pressure or strategic synergies. Additionally, Paramount (PARA), as a peer potential acquisition target, would be affected by industry consolidation sentiment. This is a highly significant event for hedging.
AI Analysis
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
World|$1.0m Vol|
time164 days 5 hrs

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4¢
United Russia (ER)(Yes)
+2.2¢
New People (NL)(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given Russia's current political system, a victory for United Russia is structurally guaranteed. The...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Hedging
RSX
Given the tight grip on power by Putin and United Russia, the status quo is widely expected to persist, meaning the election outcome is likely already priced in with little potential for market disruption. However, in the extremely low-probability 'black swan' scenario of an opposition upset or significant unrest, there would be a major shock to Russia-linked assets (like the RSX ETF, if tradable) and potential spillover into Crude Oil and Gold via geopolitical risk premiums. Under normal expectations, the impact on global broad assets is negligible.
AI Analysis
Sideman Charity Match: Player to score
Sports|$34.1k Vol|
time5 hrs 8 mins

Sideman Charity Match: Player to score

Top Undervalued
+75¢
Vikkstar123(No)
+71¢
AB(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Current odds accurately reflect the historical scoring abilities and expected field positions of the...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 16, 2026 - April 18, 2026, the price of W2S surged from 31c to 54c, Marlon climbed steadily from 60.5c to 74c, Jynxzi rose from 62.5c to 72c, and Adapt increased from 50c to 60.5c. This was driven by pre-match training footage leaks and further starting lineup confirmations, raising market expectations for their attacking minutes and opportunities. April 15, 2026 - April 16, 2026, the price of Miniminter surged from 68.5c to 90.5c, and ChrisMD surged from 66c to 84c, driven by market confirmation of their starting forward positions and expectations of their strong form. April 15, 2026, the 'Yes' prices for multiple players including TBJZL, Marlon, Jynxzi, and Angryginge13 experienced brief, sharp crashes in the afternoon (e.g., TBJZL dropping from 65c to 40c, Jynxzi from 60c to 29c). They quickly rebounded on April 16, stabilizing around 60c. This was highly likely due to a short-term liquidity shock, massive erroneous sell-offs, or unverified lineup rumors, which the market rapidly corrected as accurate information emerged.
AI Analysis
UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final
Sports|$143.7k Vol|
time18 days 5 hrs

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

Top Undervalued
+11.5¢
Bayern München(No)
+9.5¢
Arsenal(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market implied probability sum is approximately 209% (the theoretical total is 200% sinc...
🔓 Unlock Mispricing Insights (Pro)
Movers
April 13, 2026 - April 15, 2026, Atlético Madrid's price surged from 24.5c to 38.5c, likely due to a strong performance or gaining an advantage in the Champions League Quarter-Final second leg. April 7, 2026 - April 8, 2026, Bayern München's price surged from 43c to 59c, and Arsenal's price surged from 49.5c to 62.5c, while Real Madrid's price plummeted from 23c to 13c. This reflects the outcomes of the Champions League Quarter-Final first legs, where Arsenal and Bayern likely secured massive advantages, whereas Real Madrid suffered a heavy defeat or an upset. March 18, 2026 - March 20, 2026, Atlético Madrid's price crashed from 23.5c to 11c, likely due to a difficult Quarter-Final draw or a shaky performance in the Round of 16 second leg. March 18, 2026 - March 19, 2026, Liverpool's price surged from 13c to 20.5c, reflecting strong market confidence following their qualification for the Quarter-Finals.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 2,300
YesNo
17.2¢
88.8¢
59.4¢
40.6¢
+42.2¢
↓ 2,250
YesNo
3.15¢
96.85¢
10.7¢
89.3¢
+7.5¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0200, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0220, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0130, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0460, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0520, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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