What price will Ethereum hit on March 30?
Crypto|$31.5k Vol|
time12 hrs 55 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on March 30? - AI Found +34.9¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+34.9¢
↑ 2,150(Yes)
+30.4¢
↑ 2,100(Yes)
+5.8¢
↓ 2,000(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on March 30? AI analysis: • +34.9¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Weather|$22.7k Vol|
time1 days 20 hrs

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?

Top Undervalued
+16.5¢
19°C(Yes)
+14.5¢
18°C(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the expected highest temperature for Shanghai Pudong Airp...
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Exotics
While weather forecasting is an established niche in prediction markets, betting on the exact daily temperature of a specific city is still relatively niche and novelty-driven for the general public.
Movers
From 21:40 to 22:45 on March 29, 2026, the Yes price for the 19°C option surged from 20.5¢ to 33¢. This was driven by updated meteorological forecast models solidifying the expected high temperature around 19°C for April 1, prompting an influx of buying.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution criteria for this Shanghai temperature market simply: what happens if Wunderground revises the April 1 ZSPD temperature data after it's finalized?
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
netflix|$14.9k Vol|
time8 hrs 55 mins

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Top Undervalued
+1¢
Virgin River: Season 7(Yes)
+0.5¢
ONE PIECE: Season 2(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given the latest market prices and less than 1 day until resolution, all listed options have extreme...
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Movers
2026-03-27 - 2026-03-28, the price of 'Virgin River: Season 7' plummeted from 24.5c to 5.5c, and 'Age of Attraction: Season 1' plunged from 22.5c to 4.5c. This was caused by new releases like 'Homicide' and 'Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen' dominating the daily charts, drastically reducing the listed shows' chances for the weekly #2 spot. 2026-03-26 - 2026-03-26, the price of 'Age of Attraction: Season 1' surged from 6.5c to 43c due to its significant rise in the Netflix daily charts, making it a strong contender for the weekly #2 spot. 2026-03-25 - 2026-03-26, the price of 'Virgin River: Season 7' experienced significant volatility, dropping from a high of 44c to a low of 6c before rebounding to 36c, driven by competitive pressure from other shows like Age of Attraction.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data from the official Netflix Top 10 site and third-party tracking sites like FlixPatrol, analyze the Polymarket order book for top contenders (e.g., 'ONE PIECE: Season 2' or 'Bridgerton'), and assess fair value, arbitrage gaps, and lock-up risks.
Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?
Culture|$195.4k Vol|
time2 days 0 hrs

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?

Top Undervalued
+2.5¢
40-64(No)
+2¢
90-114(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Elon Musk's tweet frequency (counting only main feed posts, reposts, and quotes, excluding standard ...
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Rule Risk
The market relies on a specific third-party tracker (xtracker) for resolution, with a nuanced distinction between 'main feed replies' and 'regular replies'. Furthermore, the rule that deleted posts only count if they survive for 5 minutes introduces technical tracking uncertainties and dispute risks.
Exotics
Predicting the exact number of posts a specific individual makes within a precise 48-hour window is a highly niche and whimsical novelty question. Traditional finance or analysis would never track this, making it a classic exotic prediction market.
Movers
March 28, 2026 - March 29, 2026: The price of the '40-64' option surged from 14c to 34c, while the '65-89' option rose from 28.5c to 39c. This was likely driven by market participants observing Musk's recent tweeting pace, leading to more precise estimates for the upcoming tracking period and a concentration of funds in lower-to-medium frequency brackets.
AI Analysis
Explain the resolution rules for this market like I'm 5, specifically detailing which types of Elon Musk's interactions (quotes, reposts, deleted tweets, or specific replies) actually count towards the xtracker total.
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
Science|$42.3k Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Top Undervalued
+41.4¢
0(Yes)
+15.5¢
2(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Globally, there are roughly 40-50 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher per year. For a 7-day perio...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact number of large global earthquakes within a specific week is a very niche and random statistical bet. Ordinary people rarely think about or monitor such specific figures.
Movers
March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the prices of options 2, 3, 4, 5, and >5 plummeted from around 40.5c to below 15c. The reason is the correction of anomalous pricing caused by low initial liquidity, shifting towards reasonable probabilities modeled by a Poisson distribution. March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of option 1 dropped from 41c to 28c, and then slowly recovered to 30.5c, also due to market makers and traders adjusting initial random prices to fair value.
AI Analysis
How are the win/loss conditions determined for this 6.5+ magnitude earthquake market, and what happens if USGS revises the magnitude after the 24-hour grace period?
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
Crypto|$219.4k Vol|
time1 days 13 hrs

Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?

Top Undervalued
+1.1¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 2 days until the March 31 deadline, Binance typically follows strict review processes...
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Rule Risk
There is a definitional ambiguity risk. Search results indicate the token may already be available on 'Binance Alpha' for purchase using spot balances, yet it is explicitly noted as 'not listed on Binance for trade and service.' The core risk lies in how Polymarket and the resolution source (Binance) define 'Spot Purchase.' If the market requires a formal spot trading pair (e.g., PENGUIN/USDT) on the main exchange, the current Alpha status is a 'No.' However, if 'ability to buy with spot funds' is the sole criterion, the Alpha status creates friction.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest market updates for Nietzschean Penguin ($PENGUIN), visit the Polymarket page to analyze current odds and user discussions, and update the assessment of fair value and risks regarding a 'listing by March 31' scenario.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 2,150
YesNo
12¢
90¢
46.9¢
53.1¢
+34.9¢
0¢
↑ 2,100
YesNo
57¢
47¢
87.4¢
12.6¢
+30.4¢
0¢

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⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Negative Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, -0.0320, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Negative Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, -0.0160, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Negative Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, -0.0260, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Negative Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0400, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Negative Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0660, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range

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