Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports|$12.3k Vol|
time242 days 0 hrs

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? - AI Found +27.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.01 20:59
Top Undervalued
+27.5¢
Jean Silva(Yes)
+21.4¢
Lerone Murphy(No)
+6.5¢
Movsar Evloev(No)

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? AI analysis: • +27.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past few days, the market experienced another sharp reversal. Volkanovski's price rebounded...
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Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$42.4k Vol|
time12 hrs 49 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
23°C(No)
+7.5¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$70.6k Vol|
time12 hrs 49 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+4.7¢
27°C(No)
+4.5¢
30°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Jean Silva
YesNo
12.5¢
87.5¢
40¢
60¢
+27.5¢
Lerone Murphy
YesNo
26.4¢
73.6¢
95¢
+21.4¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Movers
April 28, 2026 - May 1, 2026, Alexander Volkanovski's price surged from 24.5c to 47c, and Jean Silva's price spiked again to 39.5c after a brief dip to 19c. Simultaneously, Movsar Evloev dropped from a high of 53c to 25.5c, and Lerone Murphy collapsed from 30c down to 5c. This series of dramatic moves indicates a major fight or official announcement occurred, drastically boosting the title chances of Volkanovski and Silva while derailing Evloev and Murphy. April 12, 2026 - April 14, 2026, Lerone Murphy's price briefly spiked from 4.5c to 18.8c before rapidly collapsing back to 4.85c. This extreme rollercoaster was likely driven by short-lived rumors of him stepping in as a replacement or getting a title eliminator, which were subsequently debunked or canceled. March 30, 2026 - March 31, 2026, Lerone Murphy's price surged from 3.95c to 30.35c, likely due to a sudden announcement of a key victory or title shot confirmation, causing the market to rapidly reprice his championship probability. March 14, 2026 - March 16, 2026, Lerone Murphy's price surged from 21c to 37.5c, while Jean Silva's price plummeted from 30c to 14c. This drastic negative correlation strongly suggests a reset in the Featherweight title hierarchy. Murphy likely secured a decisive victory (or benefited from a rival's loss), effectively replacing Silva—who was previously hyped by the market—as the clear second favorite behind the champion. Feb 24, 2026 - Feb 27, 2026, Alexander Volkanovski's price saw minor volatility, recovering from 36c to 41.5c, indicating market confidence stabilized after a brief dip. Meanwhile, Jean Silva remains elevated at 23c despite no new fight news to justify this valuation. Movsar Evloev held steady around the 21c range. Feb 09, 2026 - Feb 10, 2026, the market was stable with no moves exceeding 10c for any major option, typical of a cooling-off period following major simulated events.

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