April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, Tom Aspinall's price surged from 42c to 53.5c, likely due to market capital betting again on him as the biggest favorite to unify the interim title or become the future undisputed champion. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, Curtis Blaydes's price surged from 5.65c to 14.3c, possibly due to speculative bottom-fishing. April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, Tom Aspinall's price crashed from 62.5c to 32c (later rebounding to 44c), likely because market participants suddenly priced in the massive 'Other' (Jon Jones) threat, or due to rumors of the current champ retaining the belt longer than expected. April 18, 2026 - April 19, 2026, Waldo Cortes Acosta's price surged from 9.15c to 24.6c, representing a baseless pump of long-tail 'dead money'. April 10, 2026 - April 11, 2026, Curtis Blaydes' price rebounded from 6.45c to 12.95c, possibly due to positive injury recovery news or bottom-fishing. April 7, 2026 - April 9, 2026, Tom Aspinall's price surged from 47c to 63.5c, likely due to market capital flowing into the most probable future champion, or rumors regarding the potential retirement of the current champion. March 14, 2026 - March 15, 2026, Ciryl Gane's price crashed from 28.5c to 17c, likely due to a market correction of his previously absurd premium, or a delayed realization of the 'Other' (Jon Jones) threat. March 4, 2026 - March 5, 2026, Curtis Blaydes' price dropped from 15.75c to 7.15c following confirmed meniscus surgery, which rules him out for most of 2025 and drastically reduces his chances of holding the title in 2026.

There is a severe divergence between market prices and reality. The total implied probability exceeds 240%, and current undisputed champion Jon Jones is not listed (meaning if he defends, the market resolves to 'Other'). Fighters like Ante Delija aren't even in the UFC, and aging veterans like Derrick Lewis have a near-zero realistic chance of winning the title, yet they are trading at 24c-28c. This pricing completely ignores MMA expert consensus and reality.