AI Signal Dashboard
Last updated: 03.30 23:21
Top Undervalued
+44.6¢
Kushner(No)
+19.6¢
Caine(No)
+14.5¢
Warsh(No)
Who will Trump name in April? AI analysis: • +44.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given Trump's high frequency of public appearances and lengthy impromptu speeches, a full month is m...
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Outcomes
Market
Price
AI Fair
Value
Value
Edge
Kushner
YesNo
99.55¢
0.45¢
55¢
45¢
0¢
+44.6¢
Caine
YesNo
99.55¢
0.45¢
80¢
20¢
0¢
+19.6¢
Expand to view all 32 options
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There is a significant trap in the rules. The market explicitly excludes written mentions (such as Truth Social posts) and only counts publicly accessible verbal mentions (audio or video) within the timeframe. Traders could easily misjudge based on text posts.
Exotics
This is a typical novelty market. Predicting the exact names a political figure will verbally mention in a specific month (including niche politicians or celebrities) is highly random, primarily for entertainment, and outside conventional analysis.
Divergence
The prediction market is currently pricing mentions of core political rivals somewhat conservatively (e.g., Kamala at 60c, Newsom at 65c). Mainstream consensus understands that Trump almost inevitably attacks the former Biden-Harris administration or the California governor during his hours-long rally speeches. Given a full month window, the true probability of these high-frequency targets being mentioned is significantly higher than the market's 60% expectation.