Who will Trump name in April?
Mentions|$24.2k Vol|
time22 days 21 hrs

Who will Trump name in April? - AI Found +44.6¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 03.30 23:21
Top Undervalued
+44.6¢
Kushner(No)
+19.6¢
Caine(No)
+14.5¢
Warsh(No)

Who will Trump name in April? AI analysis: • +44.6¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
Given Trump's high frequency of public appearances and lengthy impromptu speeches, a full month is m...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Danielle Martin(No)
+0.3¢
Don Hodgson(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The University—Rosedale riding in Toronto is an overwhelmingly safe seat for the Liberal Party. The ...
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Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+0.9¢
Doly Begum(No)
+0.4¢
Diana Filipova(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Doly Begum, an established political figure (NDP MPP) in Scarborough Southwest, holds a significant ...
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Movers
April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026, Doly Begum's price surged from 80.5c to 98.9c due to increased market confidence in her victory as election day approaches, coupled with concentrated liquidity. April 4, 2026 - April 5, 2026, prices plummeted for Diana Filipova (20.5c to 0.55c), Fatima Shaban (20.5c to 0.3c), Pooja Malhotra (18.0c to 0.3c), Lyall Sanders (20.5c to 0.3c), April Francisco (16.0c to 0.45c), David Vedova (18.5c to 0.3c), and Peter Koubakis (18.5c to 0.35c) due to a market liquidity correction, bringing inflated non-frontrunner prices back to their fundamental probabilities.
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Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by end of 2026?
Politics|$10.7k Vol|
time267 days 21 hrs

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by end of 2026?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past week, the market price has remained completely static at 13.5 cents. With the mid-Marc...
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Exotics
This is a geopolitical prediction regarding a specific African leader's tenure. While a standard topic for regional observers, it is relatively niche for the general market. Given the leader's long-standing rule, a coup or sudden removal is a tail-risk event.
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Top Undervalued
+1¢
Ilhan Omar(No)
+0.6¢
Steve Simon(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Given market pricing and previous context, Peggy Flanagan remains the clear frontrunner as the incum...
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Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?
Esports|$34.1k Vol|
time5 days 21 hrs

Will Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?

Top Undervalued
+4.1¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As the 'Mog World Order' event approaches its end on April 13, and today being April 6, there is les...
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Rule Risk
The core resolution term 'frame mogged' is highly subjective. While defined as Gorlock's frame 'visibly dominating' Clavicular's, the threshold for 'visible domination,' camera angles, and positioning when standing next to each other create significant ambiguity. Meme-based visual judgments are prone to disputes.
Exotics
This is a quintessential internet subculture market, based on specific streaming memes (Mogging/Looksmaxxing) and interactions between niche internet personalities. The premise of betting on a physical frame comparison is absurd and completely alien to the general public.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
Kushner
YesNo
99.55¢
0.45¢
55¢
45¢
+44.6¢
Caine
YesNo
99.55¢
0.45¢
80¢
20¢
+19.6¢

Expand to view all 32 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There is a significant trap in the rules. The market explicitly excludes written mentions (such as Truth Social posts) and only counts publicly accessible verbal mentions (audio or video) within the timeframe. Traders could easily misjudge based on text posts.
Exotics
This is a typical novelty market. Predicting the exact names a political figure will verbally mention in a specific month (including niche politicians or celebrities) is highly random, primarily for entertainment, and outside conventional analysis.
Divergence
The prediction market is currently pricing mentions of core political rivals somewhat conservatively (e.g., Kamala at 60c, Newsom at 65c). Mainstream consensus understands that Trump almost inevitably attacks the former Biden-Harris administration or the California governor during his hours-long rally speeches. Given a full month window, the true probability of these high-frequency targets being mentioned is significantly higher than the market's 60% expectation.

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