Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?
Esports|$21.3k Vol|
time29 days 0 hrs

Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 04.26 05:34
Top Undervalued
+2.3¢
(No)

Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? AI analysis: • +2.3¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
The current price for 'Yes' is 4.2c, which is very close to the previous fair value of 4c. With only...
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Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?
Weather|$42.4k Vol|
time12 hrs 49 mins

Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+13.5¢
23°C(No)
+7.5¢
25°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest weather forecast data, the highest temperature at Tokyo (Haneda Airport) on May ...
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Exotics
Predicting the exact daily high temperature for a specific city is a somewhat niche and novelty topic for retail prediction markets. However, it is not absurd, as weather is scientifically measurable and weather derivatives are common in professional fields.
AI Analysis
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?
Weather|$70.6k Vol|
time12 hrs 49 mins

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 3?

Top Undervalued
+4.7¢
27°C(No)
+4.5¢
30°C(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other meteorological agencies o...
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Movers
May 1, 2026 - May 2, 2026: The price of the 30°C option plummeted from 27c to 8.5c, and the 29°C option dropped from 48c to 35.5c, while the 28°C option surged from 22.5c to 43c. The reason is that as the resolution date approaches, updated weather forecasts confirmed heavier rain and cloud cover, prompting the market to discount the likelihood of higher temperatures and shift the peak probability range down to 28°C.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
6.3¢
93.7¢
96¢
+2.3¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There are two main risks: 1. **Date Trap**: The biggest S-Tier event, 'IEM Cologne Major 2026', starts in June but concludes on June 21, making it **ineligible** under the 'concludes by June 1' rule. Bettors might mistakenly assume qualifying for the Major counts. 2. **S-Tier Definition**: Liquipedia tiers are dynamic; events like 'BLAST Open' could be downgraded to A-Tier prior to start if top teams withdraw, nullifying a potential qualification.
Exotics
Moderately exotic esports derivative. While CS2 match predictions are common, combining a specific team's comeback story (100 Thieves), a hard time cutoff (June 1), and reliance on Liquipedia tier definitions makes this more niche and complex than standard match winner markets.

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