With less than 2 trading days left until the end-of-March resolution, the extreme downside risks in ...

Silver is often treated as a 'high-beta version of Gold,' with extremely high price correlation. While this event merely tracks price, if Silver triggers the extreme price options (e.g., a massive surge), it typically signals drastic shifts in macro inflation expectations or geopolitical risks. This would directly impact Gold and the Dollar Index (DXY) through correlation. Thus, this market serves as a direct hedging tool for precious metal portfolios.

March 27, 2026 - March 28, 2026, the price of '↓ $65' dropped from 46c to 25.5c, as the tail risk of the silver settlement price crashing below $65 faded significantly further with expiration extremely close. March 26, 2026 - March 27, 2026, the price of '↓ $65' retraced from 56.5c to 45.5c, as the tail risk of the silver settlement price crashing below $65 faded with expiration approaching. March 25, 2026 - March 26, 2026, the price of '↓ $65' surged from 26c to 56.5c, as the market aggressively repriced the tail risk of Silver's settlement price dipping below $65 heading into the month-end. March 24, 2026 - March 25, 2026, the price of '↓ $65' plummeted from 73.5c to 11c, as the market realized the intraday crash did not meet the settlement price criteria, and silver spot/futures stabilized, cooling off panic. March 24, 2026, the price of '↓ $60' dropped significantly from an intraday high of 34.35c to 11.55c. This was due to Silver prices staging a technical rebound and stabilizing above $69 after Monday's flash crash, reducing the likelihood of breaking below $60. March 21, 2026 - March 24, 2026, the price of '↓ $65' surged from 16.5c to 55.5c before settling back to ~40c, reflecting the extreme volatility during the liquidity crisis experienced on Monday.

As of late March 2026, the prediction market indicates that the ruling PPP is most likely to win 2 o...

With less than 3 days remaining until the March 31 deadline, including a weekend, it is procedurally...

If Congress actually passes a bill explicitly creating tariffs, it would be a significant macroeconomic event. Tariffs generally raise import costs and inflation expectations, thereby pushing up the Dollar Index (DXY) and US Treasury yields. For equities (S&P 500), this is a bearish signal due to higher costs, particularly for multinationals and retailers. While the short timeline makes passage unlikely, if it were to happen, the market shock would be medium to high, warranting hedging.

As of March 29, 2026, with less than 2 days until market expiration, Netanyahu remains tied up with ...

This is a moderately exotic market. While Netanyahu is a high-profile leader whose travels are news, predicting a specific visit to a specific city (NYC) within a short timeframe is speculative and not a guaranteed scheduled event like an election. It falls into the category of geopolitical gossip/logistics forecasting.

With less than 3 days left until the March 31 deadline, there are no signs or credible reports indic...

This is a highly exotic and conspiracy-driven market. It is an absurd and fringe question, given there is absolutely no credible evidence or mainstream reporting suggesting the Federal Reserve Chairman is at risk of arrest by law enforcement.

Although the probability is infinitesimally small, if Jerome Powell were actually arrested, it would be an unprecedented 'Black Swan' event causing an instant collapse of global financial order. As the head of the world's central bank, his legal jeopardy directly impacts the credibility of the USD and the stability of US monetary policy. If realized, equity markets would crash in panic, Treasury yields would fluctuate violently (flight to safety or credit collapse), and Gold/Bitcoin would react sharply as safe havens or chaos hedges.