This event is directly tied to Under Armour's (UAA) quarterly earnings performance. An unexpected beat or miss will likely cause significant volatility in UAA's stock price, thus the impact score of 4. Additionally, it might have a minor sector sentiment impact on competitors like Nike (NKE).

This event directly concerns the quarterly earnings performance of Consolidated Edison (ED). A non-GAAP EPS beat typically causes a moderate price movement in the individual stock (generally around 3-5%), making it a tradable event with significant hedging value.

May 6, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from about 94.75c to 52c, and then recovered to 88c on the same day. The reason is that on the eve of the earnings release, there was severe market divergence or potential panic selling, but it was soon bought back by funds betting on an earnings beat, recovering part of the drop. May 1, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 77.5c to a peak of 95.5c before settling at 90.5c (and later rebounding to ~95c), driven by surging investor confidence in an earnings beat as the release date approaches, causing heavy inflows into the Yes option. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 77.5c to 90c. The reason is that as the earnings release approaches, market confidence in an earnings beat strengthened, pushing the price higher.

This event is directly tied to Tower Semiconductor's (TSEM) quarterly earnings performance. An earnings beat or miss would trigger a notable stock price movement of around 3-5%, presenting a significant trading opportunity. However, due to the company's relatively small size, the impact on broad indices like the Nasdaq 100 is negligible.

The earnings outcome for Hertz (HTZ) will directly dictate its short-term stock trajectory. For a company facing volatility and significant expected quarterly losses, a substantial beat or miss compared to the $-0.72 non-GAAP EPS estimate will typically trigger a severe single-day price repricing of 5% to over 15% for HTZ stock, making it highly tradable. The impact on broad macro indices (like the S&P 500) is negligible.

May 4, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped from 67.5c to 53c. As the earnings release approaches, investors likely took profits after the recent sharp rally and remained cautious about the final results, leading to a price pullback. May 3, 2026 - May 4, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 34.5c to 67.5c, because the market reassessed Hertz's earnings outlook, likely influenced by more optimistic used car market dynamics or company-specific positive news, leading to a strong recovery in confidence. April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 66.5c to 37.5c, because institutions like Zacks revised Hertz's Q1 earnings estimate down to a loss of $0.76 per share, noticeably worse than the $-0.72 strike, sharply reducing market confidence. April 27, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped from 65c to 48c, then quickly rebounded to 66.5c. This was due to short-term intense fluctuations and rebalancing in market expectations regarding Hertz's earnings outlook and used car depreciation pressures.

Earnings results directly dictate the short-term price action of Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) stock. An earnings beat or miss typically causes a gap-up or gap-down of around 5%, presenting significant tradability and direct hedging value for the specific equity. Impact on broader market indices is negligible due to the company's size.

The outcome is directly linked to the stock price of SoundHound AI (SOUN). As a high-beta small-cap AI stock, an earnings beat or miss typically triggers significant trend-moving price swings, making it a highly correlated and tradable event.

The outcome of this event will directly and significantly impact Monster Beverage's (MNST) stock price, as earnings beats or misses typically trigger substantial price volatility (Score 4). Additionally, industry peers like Celsius (CELH) may experience sympathy moves, and Coca-Cola (KO), a major distributor and stakeholder, could see minor impacts.

Between May 5, 2026, and May 7, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' experienced significant volatility, surging from 48c to a high of 73.5c, before sharply retracting to 50c. This frequent and large-swing oscillation (over 20c) is primarily due to the approaching earnings release and potentially low market liquidity, where small bets driven by short-term speculations heavily skewed the price, which eventually settled back to the 50c equilibrium level just before the earnings announcement.

ICU Medical's quarterly earnings results will directly cause significant price volatility in its own stock (ICUI), typically driving medium to high percentage moves. However, due to the company's size, the impact on broader market indices like the S&P 500 is negligible.

Amazon's capex directly impacts its own valuation and free cash flow (AMZN). Furthermore, since a large portion of incremental spending is likely directed toward AWS data centers and AI chips, this will also have a significant material impact on suppliers like Nvidia (NVDA). As a core constituent, this data could also cause moderate volatility in the Nasdaq 100 index.

There is a severe divergence between market pricing and official corporate guidance. Amazon's management recently publicized a Capex guidance of approximately $200 billion for 2026. However, the prediction market prices the probability of Capex exceeding $170B and $180B at less than 50%. This suggests a massive market inefficiency or mispricing, likely driven by low liquidity or failure to price in the latest earnings guidance materials.

This prediction event is directly tied to the quarterly financial performance of Krispy Kreme (DNUT). An earnings beat or miss is a typical catalyst event that usually results in significant price movements in the company's stock during after-hours or intraday trading (Score 4). The impact on broader market indices is negligible.

May 3, 2026 - May 5, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to a peak of 85c before settling at 78c. This was due to growing market optimism regarding Krispy Kreme's upcoming earnings release, with large volume purchases driving up the price. Prior to May 3, 2026, the price hovered around 50c without any drastic movements.

The outcome directly dictates the post-earnings stock price trajectory of eToro (ETOR), representing a typical earnings play that usually triggers significant price gaps (often >5%). Additionally, peer retail trading platforms (like Robinhood, HOOD) might experience minor sympathetic moves due to sector-level fundamental sentiment.

The outcome of this event is directly tied to the fundamental performance of Amer Sports (AS). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers significant price volatility in the individual stock (usually >5%), making it highly valuable for directional hedging.

This event is directly tied to the fundamentals of The RealReal (REAL). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers significant price volatility for the individual stock (often >10%). While its impact on the Russell 2000 index is negligible due to its small market cap, it serves as a perfect direct hedging tool for investors holding REAL shares.

May 5, 2026 - May 6, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 47.5c to 81.5c. This significant reversal in market sentiment right before the earnings release was likely driven by optimistic forward expectations or favorable industry data, reigniting confidence in an earnings beat. May 3, 2026 - May 4, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 81.5c to 46.5c. This significant shift in market expectations as the earnings date approaches was likely driven by new negative analyst forecasts or industry data, leading to a sharp decline in confidence for an earnings beat. May 3, 2026 - May 3, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' increased from 69c to 79c, driven by growing optimism in the market for an earnings beat as the release date approached.

The outcome of this event directly dictates the post-earnings price action for Rumble (RUM) stock. As a relatively high-volatility streaming and technology company, an EPS beat or miss typically triggers significant overnight price movements (often constituting a 5%-15% significant trend move). However, due to Rumble's small market capitalization, its earnings performance has no substantive impact on broad macroeconomic indices like the Nasdaq.

The outcome of this event directly dictates the post-earnings price action of Applied Materials (AMAT), where an earnings beat or miss typically triggers a 5%-10% or higher stock movement. As a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer, its results can also propagate sentiment to the Nasdaq 100 and the broader semiconductor sector, though its isolated structural impact on the broader market index remains limited.