May 1, 2026 - May 3, 2026, high-frequency options like 160-179, 140-159, and 180-199 experienced massive volatility. The 160-179 option surged from 20c to 51c before settling at 35c, while the 200+ option crashed from 30c to 4.5c. This occurred because the posting rate became clearer as time progressed, causing the market to converge on the 140-179 range and price out extreme high-frequency outcomes.
April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the 100-119 option plunged from 27c to 3.5c, while the 140-159 option fluctuated wildly between 35c and 19.5c. This volatility reflected massive trader disagreement over whether the recent high-frequency posting trend would sustain through May 8.
April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the Yes prices for the 40-59, 60-79, and 80-99 options crashed from around 40c to near 0c, driven by market expectations of significantly higher posting frequencies or tracker data adjustments.