Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
Soccer|$16.0k Vol|
time229 days 16 hrs

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 05.13 02:27
Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
(No)

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? AI analysis: • +5.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
On May 12, 2026, Florentino Perez held an emergency press conference to explicitly deny rumors regar...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Politics|$11.7k Vol|
time228 days 16 hrs

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Top Undervalued
+18.4¢
Marco Rubio(No)
+12.7¢
Susie Wiles(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
In the current market, Tulsi Gabbard, Chris Wright, and Howard Lutnick are the leading candidates, w...
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Rule Risk
The rules contain a few nuanced risk points: 1) Resolution is triggered immediately upon announcement, regardless of when it takes effect; 2) If multiple people announce simultaneously, it resolves to the one who actually leaves first, or alphabetically by last name if simultaneous; 3) Being reassigned to another Cabinet position counts as leaving. These details could cause disputes during mass reshuffles or position changes.
Movers
May 3, 2026 - May 6, 2026: Chris Wright's price surged from 27c to 32c (after dropping to 10.8c), Howard Lutnick's dropped from 32.9c to 24.5c, and Pete Hegseth's fell from ~7c to 4.5c. This reflects rapid market reassessment of departure risks for these officials, particularly heightened speculation around energy and commerce positions.
AI Analysis
California Governor Primary Election: First Place
Politics|$27.9k Vol|
time16 days 16 hrs

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Top Undervalued
+25¢
Xavier Becerra(No)
+11.8¢
Betty Yee(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
California uses a non-partisan top-two primary system for its governor race. Prominent candidates cu...
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AI Analysis
Survivor 50 Winner
Culture|$1.6m Vol|
time3 days 16 hrs

Survivor 50 Winner

Top Undervalued
+1¢
Aubry Bracco(Yes)
+0.5¢
Joe Hunter(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than 4 days remaining until the finale broadcast, Aubry Bracco's price steadily maintains ...
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AI Analysis
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics|$137.8k Vol|
time93 days 16 hrs

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+4.7¢
Angie Nixon(Yes)
+4.4¢
Alexander Vindman(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The filing deadline for the Florida Democratic Senate primary passed on April 24, 2026. Only Alexand...
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AI Analysis
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Politics|$10.4k Vol|
time228 days 16 hrs

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Top Undervalued
+10.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price is 43.5¢, showing recent high volatility. While a complete ban of X (Twitte...
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Movers
Between April 29, 2026, and May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 46¢ to 32¢, and then rebounded to 43.5¢. This significant volatility was driven by fluctuating market expectations regarding potential regulatory actions and statements in Europe. Previously, no price movement exceeding 10 cents had been observed over a longer period.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
YesNo
15.5¢
84.5¢
10¢
90¢
+5.5¢
⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Rule Risk
There is a notable potential trap in the rules: an 'announcement' of resignation or firing before the deadline immediately resolves the market to 'Yes', regardless of whether the effective date is after the deadline. This slightly diverges from the title's strict implication of vacating the role by year-end.

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