Highest temperature in London on May 23?
Weather|$10.4k Vol|
time1 days 20 hrs

Highest temperature in London on May 23? - AI Found +20.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated: 4 hours ago
Top Undervalued
+20.5¢
30°C(No)
+15.5¢
29°C(Yes)
+13.5¢
31°C(No)

Highest temperature in London on May 23? AI analysis: • +20.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest forecasts from the Met Office and other major weather outlets, the maximum t...
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Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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English Premier League - Top Goalscorer
Sports|$3.7m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League - Top Goalscorer

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
Alexander Isak(No)
+0.1¢
Nicolas Jackson(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of May 21, 2026, the 2025-26 Premier League season has concluded or has only one matchday left. E...
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Rule Risk
While 'Top Goalscorer' is a standard sports statistic, the tie-breaker rule in this market presents a significant risk. Typically, sportsbooks treat ties as a 'Dead Heat' (splitting the payout), but this market explicitly states that if multiple players tie, the winner is determined by 'whose last name comes first alphabetically'. This is a non-sporting, arbitrary rule that serves as a major trap for users who do not read the fine print carefully. For example, if Haaland and Salah tie, Haaland (H) wins and Salah (S) goes to zero.
AI Analysis
English Premier League – Last Place
Soccer|$699.7k Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League – Last Place

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Wolves(No)
+0.2¢
Burnley(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of May 21, 2026, the Premier League season has only days left. Current market prices have remaine...
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AI Analysis
EPL – Which Clubs Get Relegated?
Sports|$1.8m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

EPL – Which Clubs Get Relegated?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
West Ham(Yes)
+0.1¢
Tottenham(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Prediction market prices have remained highly stable over the past few days, with the implied relega...
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Hedging
MANU
Relegation from the EPL has massive financial implications (loss of broadcast revenue and brand value) for listed clubs like Manchester United (MANU). While relegation is highly unlikely for a giant like Man Utd, if it were to happen, the stock impact would be catastrophic (Score 5). For other non-listed clubs, there are no direct tickers. Overall, this acts as a specific equity risk event.
AI Analysis
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
Soccer|$1.8m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Liverpool(Yes)
+0.1¢
Aston Villa(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past few days, the prediction market prices for both Aston Villa and Liverpool have remaine...
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Hedging
MANU
This event is primarily correlated with publicly traded football club stocks. Manchester United (MANU) is listed on the NYSE; securing a top-4 finish (and thus Champions League qualification) has significant financial implications for future broadcasting revenue and commercial value, enough to move the stock price. Other options like Tottenham or Arsenal may have indirect links or private ownership, making MANU the most direct hedge.
AI Analysis
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Politics|$11.3k Vol|
time223 days 8 hrs

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price is 13% for 'Yes' and 87% for 'No'. Compared to the previous 7%, the price f...
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Exotics
Given that South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is currently facing impeachment and legal proceedings, speculation about his release is relevant. However, it remains a non-standard political event prediction, distinct from routine elections or economic data.
Hedging
EWY
KRW/USD
The legal status of the South Korean President directly impacts political stability and foreign investor confidence. An early release of Yoon could be interpreted as either political reconciliation or increased turmoil, directly impacting the South Korea ETF (EWY) and the Korean Won (KRW). This uncertainty carries a medium level of market impact.
AI Analysis
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
30°C
YesNo
35.5¢
64.5¢
15¢
85¢
+20.5¢
29°C
YesNo
24.5¢
75.5¢
40¢
60¢
+15.5¢

Expand to view all 11 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
Exotics
Predicting the daily high temperature in a specific city is a standard weather betting/derivative concept. While common in niche markets, it is considered a novelty, short-term speculative topic for the general public.
Divergence
Significant divergence exists. Mainstream weather forecasts (e.g., Met Office) explicitly predict a maximum daytime temperature of 29°C at London City Airport on May 23. However, the market's favorite is currently 26°C (25c), with 29°C sitting at only 22c. This indicates that market participants are lagging in updating their models to price in the recently forecasted 'heatwave' conditions.

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