What price will Ethereum hit on May 11?
Crypto|$17.5k Vol|
time17 hrs 8 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on May 11? - AI Mispricing Alert

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+7.7¢
↑ 2,400(Yes)
+6.9¢
↑ 2,350(Yes)

What price will Ethereum hit on May 11? AI analysis: • +7.7¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

Real-time High Yield Opportunities

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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
World|$5.7m Vol|
time20 days 5 hrs

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Paloma Valencia(Yes)
+0.5¢
Abelardo de la Espriella(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With less than three weeks left until the May 31 first-round vote, left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda C...
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Hedging
COP=X
ECOPETROL
The outcome of the Colombian presidential election has a direct impact on the currency (Colombian Peso - COP) and the state-owned oil giant Ecopetrol (EC). A victory by a leftist or rightist candidate typically leads to diverging expectations regarding energy policy (e.g., oil exploration bans) and fiscal stability, triggering asset price volatility. While global impact is limited, it is a significant trading event for regional assets.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Visit the 'Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner' market page to analyze the current order book depth and spread for top contenders like Vicky Dávila and Claudia López. Combine this with recent Colombian political news and polling trends to assess if the current odds reflect fair value, and check for slippage risks given the $127k total volume.
English Premier League – Last Place
Soccer|$696.3k Vol|
time15 days 13 hrs

English Premier League – Last Place

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
Burnley(No)
+0.1¢
Wolves(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on the latest prediction market data as of May 11, 2026, the probability of Wolves finishing l...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the live 2025-26 English Premier League table (as of March 2026), compare the actual point gaps of the bottom 3-5 teams (e.g., Leeds, Sunderland) against the implied probabilities in the Polymarket order book, and assess if the market is overreacting or lagging behind recent relegation battles.
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
Elections|$1.1m Vol|
time233 days 13 hrs

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4¢
Gerry Hutch(No)
+1.3¢
Gillian Sherratt(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Daniel Ennis remains priced around 76%, maintaining his position as the clear frontrunner for the Du...
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Exotics
This is a specific regional political event (Irish by-election) that is niche for a global audience. The inclusion of candidates like Gerry Hutch (a known crime figure/'The Monk') adds a layer of novelty/sensation, distinguishing it from mainstream macro political predictions.
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Tech|$5.7m Vol|
time49 days 13 hrs

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Meta(No)
+0.5¢
OpenAI(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
With around 49 days left until the June 30 settlement, the market landscape remains stable. Anthropi...
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Hedging
GOOGL
MSFT
This event correlates directly with the stock prices of major tech giants. If Google (Gemini) or Microsoft (OpenAI) takes the top spot, it signals technical leadership, likely boosting their stock. Conversely, if a player like DeepSeek or xAI unexpectedly tops the leaderboard, it could be viewed as an erosion of the incumbents' moats, weighing on GOOGL/MSFT. DeepSeek's past performance has already demonstrated its ability to shock chip stocks (like NVDA) and tech giants. It is a moderately impactful tradable event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Retrieve the current live standings from the Chatbot Arena (lmarena.ai) specifically under the "Style Control: Off" setting; analyze the Polymarket order book to assess if the market is pricing in current leaders or speculatively pricing in unreleased Q2 2026 models.
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Trump|$51.1m Vol|
time172 days 13 hrs

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Top Undervalued
+0.7¢
Kevin Warsh(No)
+0.1¢
Michelle Bowman(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Kevin Warsh's market price is extremely high (near $1), stabilizing between 99.5c and 99.75c over th...
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Hedging
Gold
DXY
S&P 500
US 10Y Yield
The choice of Fed Chair dictates the future direction of monetary policy (Hawkish vs. Dovish). If an unconventional or politically motivated candidate (e.g., Kevin Warsh or Judy Shelton) is nominated and confirmed, it could trigger significant volatility in bond markets (yield spikes) and currency fluctuations. Candidates like Kevin Hassett or Judy Shelton, who might challenge Fed independence, would be viewed as a tail risk, causing repricing in safe havens (Gold) and risk assets (Equities).
AI Analysis
Retrieve the latest information, visit the Polymarket page for the 'Fed Chair Confirmation' event to analyze the Order Book and user discussions, and update the assessment of fair value, arbitrage strategies, and risks, specifically focusing on liquidity gaps between top contenders like Kevin Warsh and Jerome Powell based on recent White House leaks.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↑ 2,400
YesNo
13¢
91¢
20.7¢
79.3¢
+7.7¢
0¢
↑ 2,350
YesNo
71¢
79¢
77.9¢
22.1¢
+6.9¢
0¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0130, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0180, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0110, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 4: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, 0.0150, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average Positive Factor 5: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0730, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: Distance to Yesterday High Ratio, -0.0050, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday resistance test: distance of price relative to yesterday high

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