What price will Ethereum hit on May 21?
Crypto|$23.9k Vol|
time12 hrs 47 mins

What price will Ethereum hit on May 21? - AI Found +21.5¢ Mispricing

AI Signal Dashboard

Last updated:
Top Undervalued
+21.5¢
↓ 2,100(Yes)
+1.6¢
↑ 2,150(No)
+0.6¢
↑ 2,200(No)

What price will Ethereum hit on May 21? AI analysis: • +21.5¢ undervalued • Live Prediction Market fair value & mispricing alerts.

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English Premier League - Top Goalscorer
Sports|$3.7m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League - Top Goalscorer

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
Alexander Isak(No)
+0.1¢
Nicolas Jackson(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of May 21, 2026, the 2025-26 Premier League season has concluded or has only one matchday left. E...
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Rule Risk
While 'Top Goalscorer' is a standard sports statistic, the tie-breaker rule in this market presents a significant risk. Typically, sportsbooks treat ties as a 'Dead Heat' (splitting the payout), but this market explicitly states that if multiple players tie, the winner is determined by 'whose last name comes first alphabetically'. This is a non-sporting, arbitrary rule that serves as a major trap for users who do not read the fine print carefully. For example, if Haaland and Salah tie, Haaland (H) wins and Salah (S) goes to zero.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest 2025/26 Premier League top scorer statistics (as of March 2026) to compare the actual goal tallies of leaders like Haaland or Salah against their Polymarket implied probabilities. Specifically assess current injury reports and expected availability for the final run-in to update the fair value assessment.
English Premier League – Last Place
Soccer|$699.7k Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League – Last Place

Top Undervalued
+0.6¢
Wolves(No)
+0.2¢
Burnley(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
As of May 21, 2026, the Premier League season has only days left. Current market prices have remaine...
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AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the live 2025-26 English Premier League table (as of March 2026), compare the actual point gaps of the bottom 3-5 teams (e.g., Leeds, Sunderland) against the implied probabilities in the Polymarket order book, and assess if the market is overreacting or lagging behind recent relegation battles.
EPL – Which Clubs Get Relegated?
Sports|$1.8m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

EPL – Which Clubs Get Relegated?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
West Ham(Yes)
+0.1¢
Tottenham(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Prediction market prices have remained highly stable over the past few days, with the implied relega...
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Hedging
MANU
Relegation from the EPL has massive financial implications (loss of broadcast revenue and brand value) for listed clubs like Manchester United (MANU). While relegation is highly unlikely for a giant like Man Utd, if it were to happen, the stock impact would be catastrophic (Score 5). For other non-listed clubs, there are no direct tickers. Overall, this acts as a specific equity risk event.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest EPL standings or Championship promotion trends (to verify the status of listed teams like Sunderland/Leeds), analyze the order book depth for relegation favorites on Polymarket, and assess fair value considering potential PSR (Profit and Sustainability Rules) points deductions.
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
Soccer|$1.8m Vol|
time5 days 8 hrs

English Premier League - Top 4 Finish

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
Liverpool(Yes)
+0.1¢
Aston Villa(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Over the past few days, the prediction market prices for both Aston Villa and Liverpool have remaine...
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Hedging
MANU
This event is primarily correlated with publicly traded football club stocks. Manchester United (MANU) is listed on the NYSE; securing a top-4 finish (and thus Champions League qualification) has significant financial implications for future broadcasting revenue and commercial value, enough to move the stock price. Other options like Tottenham or Arsenal may have indirect links or private ownership, making MANU the most direct hedge.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest 2025-26 EPL standings, remaining fixture difficulty, and key player injuries; visit the Polymarket page to analyze the order book depth for Top 4 contenders (e.g., Arsenal, Liverpool, Man Utd), and assess whether current prices reflect liquidity premiums or market lag.
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Politics|$11.3k Vol|
time223 days 8 hrs

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Top Undervalued
+0.1¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price is 13% for 'Yes' and 87% for 'No'. Compared to the previous 7%, the price f...
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Exotics
Given that South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol is currently facing impeachment and legal proceedings, speculation about his release is relevant. However, it remains a non-standard political event prediction, distinct from routine elections or economic data.
Hedging
EWY
KRW/USD
The legal status of the South Korean President directly impacts political stability and foreign investor confidence. An early release of Yoon could be interpreted as either political reconciliation or increased turmoil, directly impacting the South Korea ETF (EWY) and the Korean Won (KRW). This uncertainty carries a medium level of market impact.
AI Analysis
[Mandatory Task] Order Book & Fundamentals Comprehensive Assessment: Retrieve the latest data from the Polymarket page for 'Yoon out of custody before 2027?', analyze the current Yes/No odds, order book depth, and user comments, and combine this with the latest South Korean political news to assess if the current price is fair and if liquidity risks exist.
All Outcomes
Market Price
AI Fair Value
Value Edge
↓ 2,100
YesNo
42¢
63¢
63.5¢
36.5¢
+21.5¢
0¢
↑ 2,150
YesNo
42¢
65¢
33.4¢
66.6¢
0¢
+1.6¢

Expand to view all 14 options

⚠️ Risk Warning: Live data may lag! Prices can shift instantly due to news or low liquidity. Before trading, use AI Chat for [Live Recalculate], [Check Liquidity], [Trollbox Radar], or review [Fair Value Logic] to verify.
AI Insights & Reasoning:
Positive Factor 1: VWAP Deviation Rate, 0.0020, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday average cost: percentage deviation of price relative to intraday VWAP Positive Factor 2: Hourly MA60 Deviation Rate, 0.0030, Impact-Intense, Factor description Intraday trend direction: deviation of price relative to the 60-hour moving average (~2.5 days) Positive Factor 3: Hourly MA20 Deviation Rate, 0.0000, Impact-Strong, Factor description Institutional control indicator: deviation of price relative to the 20-hour moving average Positive Factor 4: Intraday Volatility Exhaustion Rate, 0.0560, Impact-Medium, Factor description Volatility exhaustion: today range relative to the 14-day average range Negative Factor 1: Daily MA10 Deviation Rate, -0.0240, Impact-Strong, Factor description Short-term defense line: deviation of price relative to the 10-day moving average

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