ON Semiconductor's earnings results will directly cause a significant price movement in its own stock (typically around 5% or more), making it a standard tradable earnings event. The impact on broader indices like the Nasdaq 100 is negligible.

April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 73.5c to 91c, as the earnings date drew nearer and market confidence in an ON Semiconductor earnings beat (>$0.61) solidified, prompting investors to drive up the price. April 25, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 73.5c, as the market increasingly priced in a beat on the $0.61 non-GAAP EPS consensus estimate as the earnings date approached.

This event is directly tied to the quarterly earnings performance of Akamai Technologies (AKAM). Whether the EPS beats consensus will immediately dictate the stock's after-hours and next-day price action, typically causing a medium-level tradable gap (~5%), making it a direct hedging instrument.

From April 29, 2026 to April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50.5c to 91.5c, likely reflecting extreme market optimism regarding Akamai's earnings beat or large positions being established. From April 27, 2026 to April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 30c to 83.5c before pulling back, indicating severe volatility in market expectations ahead of the earnings release.

The prediction market currently prices 'Yes' at 91.5c, implying almost absolute certainty that Akamai will beat earnings. However, mainstream analyst estimates and historical beat rates usually suggest a probability around 60%-70%. This implied probability over 90% shows a clear divergence from the more cautious expectations of traditional financial analysts, potentially indicating market overreaction.

The outcome of this event directly reflects Airbnb's (ABNB) quarterly financial performance. An earnings beat or miss will trigger significant tradable price movements in ABNB shares (typically around 5%, making it a medium-impact tradable event). Because ABNB is just a single stock, the event will have a negligible real impact on broader market indices like the Nasdaq 100.

Whether Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) beats its earnings estimates will directly and significantly impact its own stock price (WBD). Earnings beats or misses typically cause medium to large price movements (Impact Score 3). Additionally, as WBD is a component of the Nasdaq and the streaming/entertainment sector, its results may have a negligible indirect impact on broader indices like the Nasdaq 100, but the primary shock is concentrated on the individual stock.

April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 49c to 23.5c, before rebounding to 43.5c on April 30. This was likely driven by the market digesting negative rumors or analyst downgrades as the earnings date approaches, followed by short-covering and bottom-fishing that brought the price back to its recent baseline.

This prediction event is directly tied to the quarterly financial performance of MarketAxess (MKTX). Whether the reported EPS beats estimates typically causes a moderate to significant post-earnings price gap in the stock. Therefore, MKTX stock itself is a highly correlated asset with direct hedging value.

From 2026-05-01 to 2026-05-02, the price of Option_'Yes' retreated from 80c to 69c, likely due to investors taking profits as the earnings date approaches, slightly cooling confidence in an earnings beat. From 2026-04-29 to 2026-04-30, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 52c to 72.5c, likely as the market repriced the likelihood of an earnings beat based on the recently announced record Q1 trading volumes. From 2026-04-27 to 2026-04-28, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 81c to 49c, potentially due to profit-taking from early buyers or new cautious sell-side notes. From 2026-04-26 to 2026-04-27, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 40c to 81c, driven primarily by retail enthusiasm following the release of robust preliminary Q1 volume metrics.

This event is directly tied to the quarterly earnings performance of Charles River Laboratories (CRL). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a significant intraday price movement in the company's stock (often around 5% or more), making it a standard tradable event with a medium impact score. As an individual stock's earnings, its impact on broader macroeconomic indices like the S&P 500 is negligible.

April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' skyrocketed from 50.5c to 88.5c and subsequently stabilized above 90c. The reason is that as the earnings date approached, the latest analyst estimates were revised up to $1.96 (above the $1.94 strike price), triggering aggressive bullish buying. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' briefly surged from 51c to 73c before retracing, reflecting early speculative large positions or short-term expectation trading. April 24, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price remained stable around 50c, reflecting an early balance of expectations between bulls and bears ahead of the earnings release.

The event directly targets Shake Shack's financial metrics, meaning the earnings result (beat or miss) will directly drive intra-day and after-hours price action for its stock (SHAK). This is a standard earnings event that typically triggers a significant tradable move of ~5% or more, presenting medium-level impact and direct hedging value.

April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 74.5c to 94.5c. This was primarily driven by several investment banks (such as Raymond James and D.A. Davidson) reiterating Buy ratings and raising price targets ahead of earnings, confirming strong sales momentum and boosting market confidence. April 25, 2026 - April 26, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 54.5c to 76.0c as the market priced in positive catalysts such as Q1 same-store sales tracking ahead of expectations and analyst upgrades.

This event is directly tied to the quarterly financial results of Grab Holdings (GRAB). Earnings beats or misses typically trigger significant tradable volatility in the specific stock (often ranging between 5% and 15%). Consequently, this prediction market serves as a direct hedge for GRAB equity around earnings season. However, it has negligible spillover impact on broader macro indices like the Nasdaq or S&P 500.

April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' rebounded sharply from 24c to 71c (later stabilizing around 58c). The reason is that the market reassessed Grab's earnings potential, with traders believing the initial sell-off was overdone and that an EPS beat above $0.02 remains plausible, triggering dip-buying. April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 77.5c to 24c. The reason is that as the earnings date approaches, some analysts adjusted their EPS estimates to a lower level ($0.01-$0.02), causing market confidence in an EPS strictly greater than $0.02 to collapse, leading to a massive sell-off. April 24, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 72.5c. The reason was that as the earnings release date approached, market confidence in Grab beating earnings estimates had significantly strengthened, with continuous buying pushing the price up.

The event directly targets the quarterly earnings performance of Chime Financial (CHYM). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers significant price volatility in the individual stock (often 5%-15% or more), providing substantial correlation and hedging value.

April 30, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' rapidly surged from 50c to 82c before stabilizing at 80.5c, likely due to a massive influx of bets on an earnings beat as the release date approached, possibly triggered by analyst upgrades or highly positive market expectations. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 48.5c to 71c. This was likely driven by growing positive sentiment regarding their upcoming earnings, potentially fueled by upward revisions from analysts or leaked positive financial data. Previously (prior to April 24, 2026), the market price remained stable at 50c, with no significant movement exceeding 10c observed. This reflected a lack of new information or low trading activity in the market.

This event is directly tied to the earnings results of Wix.com (WIX). If EPS beats expectations, it usually leads to a moderate to significant fluctuation in its stock price, making it a directly tradable or hedgeable event, thus carrying a high impact score.

Aptiv's (APTV) earnings result will directly cause significant volatility in its stock price. An earnings beat typically leads to a stock price surge, making this prediction market highly correlated and valuable for hedging APTV stock.

The outcome of this event will directly trigger high volatility in Powell Industries' (POWL) stock. Earnings beats or misses typically result in a post-earnings price gap of >5% for individual stocks, offering strong hedging and trading value. However, the impact on broader indices is negligible.

April 28, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' rose from 73.5c to 92.5c, peaking at 94.5c. The reason is that as the earnings date approaches, traders have become increasingly confident that the $1.32 EPS threshold will be easily beaten, driving up bullish sentiment. April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' fluctuated sharply between 73.5c and 89.5c. The reason might be profit-taking by some traders or position adjustments based on options market implied volatility as the earnings date approaches, though it remained at a high level overall. April 24, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 88.5c. The reason is that market participants increasingly realized the $1.32 EPS threshold is extraordinarily low compared to the company's recent stellar earnings history (consistently >$3.40 in recent quarters), driving up the 'Yes' probability.

Pinterest's earnings results will directly and significantly impact its own stock (PINS) price. Typically, earnings beats or misses trigger sharp high-single to double-digit price movements, making it an excellent target for trading or hedging.

Between April 29, 2026 17:38 and 21:58, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 52.5c to 64.5c, before dropping back to 49.5c at 23:03, indicating brief but intense market divergence on earnings expectations. There have been no other price movements exceeding 10 cents in the past 3 days. The current price is stable around 50.5 cents, indicating that the market is evenly divided on whether the earnings beat will occur, with relatively calm trading.

Marriott's (MAR) earnings directly impact its own stock price, with beats or misses typically causing medium-level fluctuations (around 5%). As a representative of the consumer and hospitality sector, its direct impact on the S&P 500 index is negligible, though it may have some sentiment spillover effects on related hospitality or travel ETFs.

Between April 29, 2026 and May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 51c to a peak of 91.5c before correcting to 78.5c. This was likely driven by a massive influx of bets expecting a strong Q1 earnings beat as the release date approached, followed by some traders taking profits, causing a moderate price pullback. Between April 25, 2026 and April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' fluctuated narrowly between 50c and 51c, indicating a wait-and-see market approach with no clear catalysts during that period.

This event directly and almost exclusively dictates the price action of HubSpot (HUBS) stock post-earnings. An earnings beat or miss typically causes significant price movements ranging from 5%-15%, making it highly relevant for hedging HUBS directional or options positions. Its structural impact on broad indices like the Nasdaq 100 is negligible due to its relative market cap.