As a major healthcare and retail pharmacy company, CVS's earnings results will directly and significantly impact its own stock price (CVS), often triggering volatile moves of >5% upon release (impact score 4). While it is a component of the S&P 500, a single company's earnings typically have a negligible effect on the broader index (impact score 1). Therefore, this prediction market is primarily useful for hedging idiosyncratic risks associated with CVS stock.

April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 73c to 89c, as market sentiment leaned heavily toward CVS beating expectations approaching the earnings release, with buying pressure driving a rapid recovery. April 27, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' experienced violent swings, plunging from 90.5c to 50.5c and then rebounding to 74c, due to severe market divergence regarding CVS's upcoming earnings expectations, or sudden sentiment shifts driven by peer healthcare/pharmacy earnings. April 24, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 90.5c, as early capital heavily bet on CVS easily beating estimates.

This event directly corresponds to the earnings performance of CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP). An earnings beat or miss (especially EPS) typically causes significant tradable price movements in the stock post-market or the following day, providing direct correlation and hedging value.

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 43.5c to 68.5c, before retracing to 54c on May 2. This was driven by traders increasingly betting on an earnings beat as the reporting date neared, pushing the price up, followed by profit-taking that led to a rational price correction. April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' rebounded from 23.5c to 43.5c. This recovery occurred as market participants reassessed analyst consensus estimates ahead of the earnings release, realizing that fundamental data supports a higher probability of EPS exceeding -$1.26, thereby correcting earlier extreme pessimism. April 26, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 48.5c to 25c. This sharp decline was likely driven by deep market pessimism regarding the company's ability to meet earnings expectations. Traders appeared to be heavily betting on another significant earnings miss following last quarter's disappointing results, expecting the EPS to fall below the -$1.26 threshold.

This event is directly tied to AECOM's (ACM) earnings performance. If the actual earnings significantly beat or miss the $1.54 estimate, it will directly trigger a notable move in ACM's stock price (typically a medium-sized earnings day move of around 5%). Therefore, it holds significant trading and hedging value.

The event is directly tied to Wendy's (WEN) quarterly earnings report. An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a direct stock price movement of around 5% or more, making it a tradable event.

This event is directly tied to the earnings performance of Sonos (SONO). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a medium to large price gap in the individual stock (usually a 5%-15% move), making it highly tradable. Because Sonos has a relatively small market cap, it will have negligible impact on broader macro indices like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100.

From April 30, 2026, to May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' rebounded from 37.5c to 51.5c, likely due to warming market sentiment or new optimistic analyses indicating profitability exceeding prior pessimistic expectations as the earnings release approaches. From April 27, 2026, to April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped sharply from 73.5c to 37.5c. This steep decline likely reflects a negative shift in market expectations regarding Sonos's upcoming earnings report, or potentially negative news leaks concerning their profitability, leading traders to significantly downgrade the probability of meeting the marginal earnings target.

Since this event directly predicts whether Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) will beat its quarterly earnings expectations, the result will directly and significantly impact NVTS's stock price. An earnings beat or miss typically causes volatile individual stock movements of 5% to over 15%, providing strong tradable value.

This event is directly tied to the quarterly earnings performance of Microchip Technology (MCHP). An earnings beat or miss will directly cause significant volatility in its stock price (Impact Score of 4). Additionally, as MCHP is part of the semiconductor sector, its results might have a minor impact on the Nasdaq 100, but the primary shock is concentrated on the individual stock. Therefore, it holds significant hedging value.

From April 29, 2026, to April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 49.5c to 77.5c, likely because new capital entered the market betting on an earnings beat as the release date approaches, causing a significant price increase. From April 27, 2026, to April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped sharply from 72.0c to 50.5c, possibly due to a reassessment of the earnings outlook or profit-taking by early investors. From April 25, 2026, to April 26, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 50.5c to 74.0c, potentially driven by initial market build-up or favorable industry news boosting bullish sentiment.

Datadog's (DDOG) earnings results will directly cause significant price volatility in its stock, often resulting in single-day movements exceeding 5% or even 10%. The impact on the broader Nasdaq 100 index, however, is negligible.

This prediction is directly related to the quarterly earnings performance of US Foods (USFD). If earnings beat expectations, USFD's stock price typically experiences a moderate movement (around 5%). It may also have a minor sympathy impact on industry peer Sysco (SYY).

From April 29, 2026 to April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 74c, reflecting renewed optimism in the market just days before the earnings report, with significant funds betting on an earnings beat. From April 26, 2026 to April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 46.5c to 80.5c, likely due to institutional buying or market sentiment betting on an earnings beat as the release date approaches.

The earnings outcome for Hertz (HTZ) will directly dictate its short-term stock trajectory. For a company facing volatility and significant expected quarterly losses, a substantial beat or miss compared to the $-0.72 non-GAAP EPS estimate will typically trigger a severe single-day price repricing of 5% to over 15% for HTZ stock, making it highly tradable. The impact on broad macro indices (like the S&P 500) is negligible.

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 66.5c to 37.5c, because institutions like Zacks revised Hertz's Q1 earnings estimate down to a loss of $0.76 per share, noticeably worse than the $-0.72 strike, sharply reducing market confidence. April 27, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' dropped from 65c to 48c, then quickly rebounded to 66.5c. This was due to short-term intense fluctuations and rebalancing in market expectations regarding Hertz's earnings outlook and used car depreciation pressures.

This event directly dictates the quarterly earnings outcome for Marathon Petroleum (MPC). An earnings beat or miss will trigger an immediate and tradable price movement in its stock (typically around 5% or more on earnings day), warranting an impact score of 3 for MPC. While the company's refining business is exposed to crude oil and crack spreads, its earnings result has negligible impact on the global crude oil price itself (score 1). Overall, the event offers significant hedging value for the stock.

April 29, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' climbed further from 68.5c and stabilized at 87c, as accelerating capital inflows ahead of earnings reinforced the consensus that strong Q1 fundamentals (like improved crack spreads) will lead to an earnings beat. April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged continuously from 49.5c to around 89c, mainly because as the earnings date approached, strong Q1 refining margins attracted substantial bullish inflows, further driving up the probability of an earnings beat.

The outcome of this event directly reflects the quarterly profitability of Cabot Corporation (CBT). An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a significant price gap or intraday volatility in the stock immediately after the release, making it a tradable earnings event.

April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 51c to 89.5c, as market confidence in Cabot beating earnings estimates increased significantly ahead of the release, likely driven by positive leading indicators or analyst sentiment. April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' briefly spiked from 50c to 75.5c before quickly falling back to 51c. This could be due to short-term speculation or anomalous volatility caused by low liquidity, which was quickly corrected by the market. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 74c to 50c, stabilizing around 51c. This significant drop is likely due to an expectation recalibration ahead of the earnings report, or large market participants adjusting their bets down.

The earnings result for Atmos Energy (ATO) will directly impact its own stock price. An earnings beat typically leads to a price increase (an approximate 5% move is standard for earnings, rating a 3), while a miss leads to a drop. Given its size and sector, the broader market impact on indices like the S&P 500 will be negligible.

From 2026-04-28 to 2026-04-30, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 0.505 to 0.87, remaining elevated into early May, reflecting extreme market optimism as the earnings date approaches or sustained buying by large capital pushing the price up. From 2026-04-26 to 2026-04-27, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 0.49 to 0.825, likely due to increased short-term buying or a spike in optimism regarding earnings estimates. From 2026-04-27 to 2026-04-28, the price plummeted from 0.825 back to 0.505, indicating a sentiment correction returning to the baseline expectations. From 2026-04-24 to 2026-04-25, the price dropped from 0.615 to 0.37, potentially related to early profit-taking or severe volatility caused by low liquidity.

Whether Apollo Global Management's (APO) quarterly earnings beat estimates directly dictates its stock price movement. Typically, an earnings beat/miss triggers a stock price volatility of around 5%, constituting a medium impact (score 3). Its earnings have a negligible impact on broad market indices like the S&P 500.

April 27, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 48c to 81c. This was driven by recent earnings previews from research firms (such as Zacks) estimating Q1 EPS to be between $1.98 and $2.12, significantly higher than the $1.90 market strike, boosting investor confidence in an earnings beat. Prior to April 24, 2026, the price was relatively stable without any significant fluctuations.

MicroStrategy's (MSTR) earnings report will directly trigger significant volatility in its stock, where an unexpected beat or miss provides a strong tradable opportunity. Additionally, because its balance sheet is deeply tied to Bitcoin, any changes in its holdings or strategic guidance revealed during the release may have a minor sentiment impact on the cryptocurrency market.

April 30, 2026 - May 2, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' further plummeted from 24.5c to 6.7c. The reason is that with the earnings release imminent, market expectations of massive impairment losses on Bitcoin-related assets have essentially been locked in, leaving the likelihood of beating estimates extremely bleak. April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' continued to drop from 51c to 24.5c. The reason is that as the earnings release date approaches, the market has grown increasingly concerned about the negative impact of Bitcoin's price trends on the company's balance sheet, further downgrading the likelihood of an earnings beat. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 87.5c to 51c, as the market corrected its previous over-optimism and reassessed the potential negative impact of Bitcoin volatility on earnings as the release date approaches. April 25, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 41c to 87.5c, likely due to market speculation driven by Bitcoin price strength or company-specific positive sentiment, leading to heavy betting on an earnings beat.