Background
Earnings|$31 Vol|
time4 days 3 hrs

Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
TKO Group is expected to release earnings on May 6, 2026, with a GAAP EPS consensus estimate of $1.0...
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Hedging
TKO
This event directly pertains to TKO Group's quarterly earnings performance. An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a substantial price movement in the underlying stock, making it a highly tradable event with a medium-to-high direct price impact.
Movers
April 30, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' briefly spiked from 42c to 77.5c before quickly dropping back to 42.5c. The reason is likely due to an isolated large trade amidst low liquidity or a 'fat finger' error, rather than fundamental news. April 24, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price remained steady between 49c and 50c without any significant movement. The market is taking a wait-and-see approach as the earnings date approaches.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$27 Vol|
time4 days 3 hrs

Will Goodyear (GT) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+6¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Goodyear (GT) is expected to release earnings on May 6, with a non-GAAP EPS consensus estimate of $-...
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Hedging
GT
The event is directly tied to Goodyear's (GT) quarterly earnings performance. An earnings beat or miss typically causes a significant gap up or down in the stock price (often 5-10%+), providing high correlation and hedging value for GT stock itself. Impact on broader indices is negligible.
Movers
April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 86c to 46c. This is likely due to the market correcting its previous over-optimism as the earnings date approaches, or new analyst reports lowering expectations. April 28, 2026 - April 29, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 50c to 86c. This is likely due to renewed market confidence in the company's actual profitability (or the likelihood of an earnings beat) as the earnings release date approaches, driving stronger buying pressure. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 71c to 50c. This drop may have been caused by profit-taking from some investors or short-term market concerns regarding the automotive supply chain and sales volume.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$21 Vol|
time2 days 19 hrs

Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The market price has surged to 89.5c, reflecting overwhelming confidence that Integra Lifesciences (...
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Hedging
IART
This event is directly tied to the earnings results of Integra Lifesciences (IART). Whether the earnings beat expectations will directly cause a moderate or higher fluctuation in IART's stock price (typically around 5% or more, depending on specifics), earning an impact score of 3. As a smaller-cap stock, its impact on the broader Russell 2000 index is negligible (score 1).
Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026: The price of Option_'Yes' surged from 48c to 89.5c and sustained this high level, likely driven by strong market rumors or early guidance indicating an earnings beat, prompting aggressive one-sided bets ahead of the May 5 release. April 29, 2026 - April 30, 2026: The price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 46.5c to 70c before settling back to 48c, likely due to short-term trading volatility or bets on an earnings beat. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026: The price of Option_'Yes' rebounded from 17c to 50c, likely due to a market correction of the previous overreaction or the absorption of new forecast data. April 26, 2026 - April 27, 2026: The price of Option_'Yes' crashed from 57.5c to 17c, potentially due to selling pressure from short-term negative speculation regarding the medical device sector or specific company fundamentals.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$20 Vol|
time2 days 19 hrs

Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Historically, publicly traded companies have a slightly higher than 50% chance of beating Wall Stree...
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Hedging
HOG
The resolution of this event directly corresponds to Harley-Davidson's (HOG) quarterly financial performance. An earnings beat or miss typically triggers a noticeable swing in the stock price (usually around 5% volatility). Therefore, it carries a direct tradable price impact on HOG, making it highly suitable for hedging earnings season risk for this specific stock.
Movers
Between April 29, 2026, and April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plummeted from 72.5c to 30.5c, before rebounding to 53c shortly after. This violent swing is likely due to illiquidity and slippage given the low trading volume (19.66), or a short-term unwinding/positioning by a trader, rather than a significant change in the company's fundamentals. Prior to this, no option had experienced a price movement of more than 10 cents in the past three days. The overall price trend was stable without significant fluctuations.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$18 Vol|
time4 days 3 hrs

Will StoneX (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+11¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price has retreated and stabilized around 53 cents. Despite a brief price spike o...
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Hedging
SNEX
This event is directly tied to the quarterly earnings results of StoneX (SNEX). Whether the earnings beat or miss expectations typically triggers a moderate price movement (around 5%) in the company's stock, thus providing a significant hedging instrument.
Movers
Between 2026-04-30 and 2026-05-01, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked significantly from 52c to 83c before rapidly plunging back to 49.5c. This was likely caused by anomalous trading due to a large unilateral buy order in an illiquid market, which was quickly corrected by arbitrageurs and rational expectations back to the consensus level of around 50c. Between 2026-04-26 and 2026-04-28, the price of Option_'Yes' spiked from 48.5c to 82.5c before quickly falling back to 52c, similarly due to a large buy order causing anomalous trading, subsequently corrected by arbitrageurs. Between 2026-04-24 and 2026-04-26, the price fluctuated narrowly between 48.5c and 49.5c, with no significant volatility observed.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$10 Vol|
time10 days 19 hrs

Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+3.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current market price is 89.5c, indicating a strong market expectation that Tower Semiconductor (...
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Hedging
TSEM
This event is directly tied to Tower Semiconductor's (TSEM) quarterly earnings performance. An earnings beat or miss would trigger a notable stock price movement of around 3-5%, presenting a significant trading opportunity. However, due to the company's relatively small size, the impact on broad indices like the Nasdaq 100 is negligible.
AI Analysis
Finance|$9 Vol|
time4 days 19 hrs

Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
According to the latest analyst estimates, the consensus for Krispy Kreme's Q1 2026 non-GAAP EPS ran...
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Hedging
DNUT
This prediction event is directly tied to the quarterly financial performance of Krispy Kreme (DNUT). An earnings beat or miss is a typical catalyst event that usually results in significant price movements in the company's stock during after-hours or intraday trading (Score 4). The impact on broader market indices is negligible.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$5 Vol|
time2 days 19 hrs

Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The prediction market price has surged and stabilized around 74 cents. As the earnings release appro...
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Hedging
FIS
This event is directly tied to the stock price of Fidelity National Information Services (FIS). An earnings beat or miss can easily trigger a ~5% or more price movement in FIS shares. While FIS is in the S&P 500, its individual earnings will have a negligible impact on the broader index. Thus, it is a significant tradable event for the individual stock.
Movers
April 30, 2026 - May 1, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 52c to 75c, likely because as the earnings date approaches, investors are heavily betting on an earnings beat, potentially boosted by optimistic sentiment from peer earnings. April 28, 2026 - April 30, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' fluctuated narrowly from 51c to 50c, as market sentiment stabilized into a wait-and-see mode ahead of the earnings release. April 27, 2026 - April 28, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' plunged from 76c to 51c, likely due to cooling market sentiment or new analyst reports tempering previous over-optimism. April 25, 2026 - April 27, 2026, the price of Option_'Yes' surged from 38c to 76c, possibly due to certain investors betting on a massive earnings beat or reacting to undisclosed short-term positive catalysts.
AI Analysis
Earnings|$2 Vol|
time9 days 19 hrs

Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?

Top Undervalued
+0.5¢
(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Based on recent earnings data, eToro (ETOR) delivered an earnings beat in Q4 2025 (reported $0.71 vs...
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Hedging
ETOR
The outcome directly dictates the post-earnings stock price trajectory of eToro (ETOR), representing a typical earnings play that usually triggers significant price gaps (often >5%). Additionally, peer retail trading platforms (like Robinhood, HOOD) might experience minor sympathetic moves due to sector-level fundamental sentiment.
AI Analysis

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