Background
Politics|$4,075 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

Connecticut Governor Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
Democrat(Yes)
+4¢
Republican(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Connecticut remains a Solid Blue stronghold, providing a decisive advantage to Democrats in the 2026...
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AI Analysis
Politics|$4,056 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

CO-05 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+14¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+13.5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The fundamentals of Colorado's 5th congressional district (CO-05) remain solidly favorable to Republ...
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Divergence
The prediction market implies a ~36% probability of a Democratic victory, which diverges significantly from mainstream analytical consensus (like the Cook Political Report) that rates the district as Likely/Solid Republican (R+5). The market appears to overweigh short-term noise or partisan internal polling while discounting the district's structural red lean.
AI Analysis
Politics|$4,038 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

MN-04 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+5.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Minnesota's 4th Congressional District (St. Paul and suburbs) is a solid Democratic stronghold with ...
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AI Analysis
Politics|$4,028 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

NY-06 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+5.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+4.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
NY-06, located in Queens, New York, is a traditional Democratic stronghold where incumbent Grace Men...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$4,013 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

PA-06 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+4.5¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+3.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
PA-06 (Chester County) is a typical trending-blue suburban district (Cook PVI D+6). Incumbent Democr...
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AI Analysis
Politics|$4,007 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

MN-07 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+5.5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
MN-07 is the most Republican-leaning district in Minnesota (Cook PVI R+19). Incumbent Republican Rep...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$3,956 Vol|
time184 days 22 hrs

NJ-07 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+7¢
Democratic Party(Yes)
+2.5¢
Republican Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The current sum of Yes prices is 97%, which not only eliminates the previous liquidity premium but c...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$3,904 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

OH-15 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
The fundamentals of OH-15 (Cook PVI R+4) remain stable, with incumbent Republican Mike Carey holding...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$3,880 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

NY-24 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+15¢
Democratic Party(No)
+14.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
Undervalued Options Insights:
NY-24 is one of the most conservative districts in New York (Cook PVI ~R+11). Incumbent Republican C...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$3,827 Vol|
time15 days 22 hrs

GA-08 Republican Primary Winner

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
Austin Scott(Yes)
+3.6¢
Vinson Watkins(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Austin Scott is a long-standing incumbent representative serving since 2011. In the solidly Republic...
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AI Analysis
Politics|$3,812 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

NE-03 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+6.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District (NE-03) is one of the most heavily Republican districts in the...
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AI Analysis
Politics|$3,803 Vol|
time29 days 22 hrs

CA-41 Primary Winners

Top Undervalued
+80.5¢
Mitch Clemmons(No)
+24¢
Hector De La Torre(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Linda Sánchez is a well-established incumbent Democratic Representative (though district numbers som...
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Divergence
There is a significant divergence. The sum of the implied probabilities (Yes prices) for the four candidates is 221.5%. This logically violates California's top-two primary rules, where the maximum sum of advancing probabilities should be 200%. This discrepancy is due to the severe lack of liquidity.
AI Analysis
Politics|$3,795 Vol|
time183 days 22 hrs

OR-02 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+8.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+6.5¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
OR-02 is a solid Republican stronghold (Cook PVI R+15), with incumbent Cliff Bentz deeply entrenched...
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AI Analysis
Elections|$3,753 Vol|
time184 days 22 hrs

PA-07 House Election Winner

Top Undervalued
+1.5¢
Republican Party(Yes)
+1¢
Democratic Party(No)
Undervalued Options Insights:
Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District (PA-07) is a traditional swing district. While the previou...
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AI Analysis

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